"Curveball" Talks (or rather: Lies) AgainPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Friday, June 20. 2008 "Curveball" is the Iraqi exile whose lies were key to the Bush administrations case against Saddam on alleged WMDs, although US intelligence agents were not allowed to talk to him. He was an informant of the German Bundesnachrichtendienst. Thus many Americans criticized Germany later on, when they realized his stories about WMD were nonsense. Michael Stickings writes that "Curveball" has now spoken publicly. Michael isn't impressed and concludes in The Moderate Voice: The Bush Administration didn't get it so wrong because of Curveball, however much of a liar he may have been, but because it didn't seem to matter to the warmongers from Bush on down whether they got it right or wrong at all. There were ample warnings questioning Curveballs credibility, as well as the credibility of other such sources, but the warmongers believed what they wanted to believe, so rooted were they in their own fanaticism, and didn't let anything like the truth get in the way. Still, I wish German and American intelligence agencies would cooperate more so that politicians cannot later blame the other country's agencies for misinformation, but that is probably too much to expect. Well, sometimes they work well together: German spy received US medal for support to combat operations in Iraq in 2003 and German Intelligence gave U.S. Iraqi defense plan. EU Closer to Adopting Biometric Security Measures, and Drones Too!Posted by Kyle Atwell in European Issues on Wednesday, February 13. 2008
From Deutsche Welle:
The European Commission agreed to a plan to collect fingerprints and photographs from foreigners entering the EU, part of an effort to fortify the bloc's borders. The plan, which was presented on Wednesday, Feb. 13, could see EU funds used to develop surveillance equipment like cameras, sensors and pilot-less drones. Civil libertarians argue that the controversial measures infringe on people's privacy and won't fight crime. But proponents of the plan called the proposals "further building blocks in the often stated aim of the European Union to build a space of free and secure travel through collective responsibility and solidarity."Yesterday’s Washington Post also had an interesting article on the topic:
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Defined tags for this entry: Civil Liberties, Civil Rights, European Union, Intelligence, Technology
A Different Kind of Quagmire: IranPosted by Kyle Atwell in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, February 12. 2008
Tired of the same old boring quagmire? Looking for a new kind of quagmire to talk about with your friends? Good news if you are, because Iraq is not the only quagmire around. No need to look far—keep it in the “axis of evil.” Iraq’s neighbor, Iran is also a quagmire of a sorts… a diplomatic quagmire for the transatlantic allies.
I’ll corroborate: the United States and Europe have been trying to anneal sanctions against Iran through the United Nations Security Council for years, only to have their proposals consistently rebuffed and watered down by China and Russia. The latest US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), “Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities” (PDF version), is unlikely to make the pursuit of sanctions any easier: We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program; we also assess with moderate-to-high confidence that Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons.Good news, right? Only kinda, according to Ralf Fuecks who points out at Atlantic Community that Iran remains a threat, regardless of the NIE: Continue reading "A Different Kind of Quagmire: Iran" German Beer in Exchange for US Intelligence InformationPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Wednesday, October 3. 2007
"Drunken superiors, life-threatening vehicle training on mined territory and a vigorous trading of beer for United States military intelligence -- these are part of a long list of accusations contained in eyewitness accounts and documents that have just surfaced," writes Spiegel International about the Bundeswehr's elite Kommando Spezialkraefte (KSK) in Afghanistan:
One colonel in Kandahar is said to have been so fond of alcohol that American officers were forced to complain about his presence at mission briefings, during which he was clearly intoxicated. (...)Why isn't it legal to share beer and intel between NATO allies? ;-) German Intelligence Analyst Mediates Between Israel and HezbollahPosted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, October 24. 2006
Spiegel writes about the Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND) analyst:
Since he's taken part in previous German-negotiated prisoner exchanges, he knows the bizarre rules of hostage-trading as well as the main people involved. The German government has twice been a successful mediator between Hezbollah and Israel, and the work is as delicate and demanding as it is prestigious. The difference this time is that the new talks, technically, shouldn't be happening. Last year BND chief Ernst Uhrlau threatened Hezbollah that the German wouldn't be available if the militia tried to use kidnappings again as a negotiating tactic. (...) The German government was then appropriately reserved when a spokesman for Israel's Foreign Ministry, Yigal Palmor, openly asked for negotiating help. "Right now the same officials from Germany would be useful again," he said.Now the BND agent is negotiating on behalf of United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan and Spiegel concludes: Even if the current negotiations fail, though, the mission will already count as a success for the German government. Any failure in talks will lie at the UN's feet, but a success will bring at least some credit back to Germany.Related posts in the Atlantic Review: • Perception of Germany in Israel, • NYT: German Intelligence gave U.S. Iraqi defense plan, and • German spy received US medal for support to combat operations in Iraq in 2003 Unrelated endnote: Why is Dailykos (picture) celebrating the fall of the Berlin Wall already now? It's still more than two weeks until November 9th... German-American Relations on the Eve of President Bush's VisitPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Friday, July 7. 2006
Ahead of President Bush's visit to Germany next week, The Economist is concerned that "America may expect too much help from Germany, whether on Iran, the Balkans or Russia." The respected British weekly acknowledges that Chancellor Merkel improved German-American relations, while "showing that she is no poodle, criticising Guantánamo and pushing the Americans to talk directly to Iran" and notices:
Most Germans are happy that the low point in German-American relations, when Chancellor Gerhard Schröder noisily opposed the Iraq war in 2002-03, is behind them. But they remain unpersuaded by Mr Bush's charm offensive. Some fear that Germany may again come to seem too close to America. A few fret that the Americans could lure Germany into a "coalition of the willing" against Iran.The Economist points out that bilateral relations were not as bad as the Bush-Schroeder relationship suggests, because the CIA was helped by two German spies in Baghdad during the early days of the Iraq war. The weekly calls Tony Blair a "lame-duck" and opines that: Germany could take on Britain's role as America's favourite partner in Europe. The rapprochement partly reflects Mr Bush's pressing need for allies in Europe. To get the Germans on board, Mr Bush has even showed some comprehension, albeit awkwardly expressed, for their opposition to the war. "I've come to realise that the nature of the German people are such that war is very abhorrent (sic)", he said in an interview with a German tabloid.Concerning Iran: Slowly but surely Germans are shifting from idealism to realism, particularly over Iran. They are convinced that something must be done about the country's nuclear programme. The recent Pew poll of global attitudes found no country with a higher share of the population opposed to Iran acquiring nuclear weapons than Germany. "Germans know how dangerous a madman at the helm can be," comments Gert Weisskirchen, a foreign-policy guru for the Social Democrats. No party other than the Left Party would oppose "smart" sanctions if Iran rejected the western package of incentives for it to remain non-nuclear.The German weekly Die Zeit looks at the state of U.S.-German relations as well. NYT: German Intelligence gave U.S. Iraqi defense planPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Tuesday, February 28. 2006
The New York Times writes that a classified US military study credits the German Federal Intelligence Agency for obtaining a copy of Saddam Hussein's plan to defend Bagdad and for passing this plan on to the US:
The plan gave the American military an extraordinary window into Iraq's top-level deliberations, including where and how Mr. Hussein planned to deploy his most loyal troops.A German government spokesperson rejected the NYT report as wrong "in all its details," but Bill Keller, the NY Times's executive editor, said in response that the report published today was attributed to a classified Joint Forces Command study on the development of Iraq's military strategy, dated 2005, and that on the matter of German involvement, 'the Joint Forces Command study is explicit and unqualified. The United States awarded a medal to one of the two agents of the German Federal Intelligence for his support to combat operations The NYT also describes the German governments vocal public opposition to the Iraq war and the significant help the German armed forces provided nevertheless: German ships guarded the sea lanes near the Horn of Africa as part of Task Force 150, an effort to deter terrorist attacks in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, for example. The patrols helped safeguard the waterways the United States used to build up its forces in the Persian Gulf for the invasion of Iraq. German spy received US medal for support to combat operations in Iraq in 2003Posted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Sunday, February 26. 2006
The German government acknowledged that two German intelligence agents based in Bagdad provided the United States with a few military coordinates during the 2003 invasion, but rejected allegations that they aided the U.S. bombing campaign. However, one of the agents received an US military award. The German government's declassified report to a parliamentary oversight committee quotes the US laudation for the German agent (page 35):
The United States of America [...] has awarded The Meritorious Service Medal to [...] German Army, for exceptionally meritorious achievement as Senior Analyst from 1 February 2003 to 30 April 2003. His critical information to United States Central Command to support combat operations in Iraq reflects great credit upon himself and the German Federal Armed Services, and the friendship between Germany and the United States of America.The German government describes the Federal Intelligence Service (BND) agent's contribution as less significant than the laudation suggests and argues that the medal was awarded as a gesture in support of the German-American relationship, which would have been remarkable because at that time Germany was quite unpopular in the US due to its anti-Iraq war policy. The Schroeder government's strong criticism of the US led Iraq war and the former chancellor's pre-election pledge not to involve Germany in the Iraq war is the main reason why this affair has become such a sensitive subject in Germany. In January the government said that the intelligence agency gave only the coordinates of non-targets (hospitals, mosques, synagogues, and embassies) to the US, but now the government report admits that the agency informed the US of seven military targets as well. Two of the three opposition parties called for an in-depth parliamentary inquiry (Untersuchungsausschuss) into the Federal Intelligence Service's involvement during the Iraq war, their role in interrogations of terror suspects abroad as well as the alleged CIA renditions, in particular the case of the German citizen El-Masri. Because both the Green Party and the Left Party only have small number of parliamentary seats, it depends on the third opposition party (the Liberal Democrats) whether there will be parliamentary inquiry. More English language coverage in the International Herald Tribune and in DW-World. More detailed coverage in German in Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, in Frankfurter Rundschau and Die Zeit's Beruf Terrorist. Those who still think Germany did nothing but obstruct US policies on Iraq, might also want to read the German embassy's fact sheet German Aid for the Stabilization and Reconstruction of Iraq. The embassy has additional fact sheets concerning Reconstructing the Afghan Police, German Military Contributions in International Missions in Afghanistan, Operation Active Endeavour and Enduring Freedom, Kosovo and Bosnia-Herzegovina or Fight Against International Terrorism. Endnote: The NY Times reports that the German government has criticized the United States for the abduction of El-Masri for more than a year, but now "the police and prosecutors opened an investigation into whether Germany served as a silent partner of the United States." Politicization of the Intelligence ProcessPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Saturday, February 25. 2006
Hours after the 9/11 attacks, Donald Rumsfeld asked his aides to look for evidence of Iraqi involvement, according to notes taken by Stephen Cambone, now undersecretary of defence for intelligence. The notes have just been declassified under the US Freedom of Information Act in response to a request by law student and blogger Thad Anderson and published in the Guardian and elsewhere. (Time Magazine's Andrew Sullivan gives his post the title of Prof. Glenn Instapundit Reynold's new book An Army of Davids
Bob Woodward apparently had access to the classified documents and quoted from Chambone's notes in his book Plan of Attack: "hit S.H. [Saddam Hussein] @ same time—not only UBL [Usama Bin Laden]." According to Woodward, Colin Powell then said "What the hell! What are these guys thinking about? Can't you get these guys back in the box?" Paul. R. Pillar, the National Intelligence Officer for the Near East and South Asia from 2000 to 2005, describes in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs how from his standpoint the "Bush administration disregarded the community's expertise, politicized the intelligence process, and selected unrepresentative raw intelligence to make its public case": The administration used intelligence not to inform decision-making, but to justify a decision already made. It went to war without requesting -- and evidently without being influenced by -- any strategic-level intelligence assessments on any aspect of Iraq. (...) If the entire body of official intelligence analysis on Iraq had a policy implication, it was to avoid war -- or, if war was going to be launched, to prepare for a messy aftermath.The essay of this former high-level official does not include any new revelations and accusations, but is a good summary of familiar criticism of the use of intelligence to justify the Iraq war. Concerning the prospects of a democratic Iraq, he writes: Before the war, on its own initiative, the intelligence community considered the principal challenges that any postinvasion authority in Iraq would be likely to face. It presented a picture of a political culture that would not provide fertile ground for democracy and foretold a long, difficult, and turbulent transition. (...) The intelligence community argued that any value Iraq might have as a democratic exemplar would be minimal and would depend on the stability of a new Iraqi government and the extent to which democracy in Iraq was seen as developing from within rather than being imposed by an outside power. More likely, war and occupation would boost political Islamand increase sympathy for terrorists' objectives -- and Iraq would become a magnet for extremists from elsewhere in the Middle East.
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