Empower the People of Myanmar to Help ThemselvesPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Tuesday, May 13. 2008 My sister Daphne Wolf studied Burmese music in Yangon. Her music school is organizing relief aid. Daphne wrote this guest blog post:
For two years I lived in Yangon, studying Burmese traditional music and teaching classical flute at the Gitameit Music Center, a private school founded by the American pianist Kit Young in 2003. I returned to Berlin in December 2007 to finish my masters in Musicology and Southeast Asian Studies. My friends, former colleagues, and students all tell me that Yangon, the old capital, is widely devastated and that the fertile delta of the Irrawaddy River is still flooded: Continue reading "Empower the People of Myanmar to Help Themselves" Pentagon on Afghanistan: We Got to Go it Alone, Basically...Posted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Saturday, May 3. 2008 Due to a shortfall in contributions from NATO allies, the Pentagon is considering sending as many as 7,000 more US troops to Afghanistan, write Steven Lee Myers and Thom Shanker in the New York Times:
Related posts on Atlantic Review: • Bumper Stickers Slogans: What is the Purpose of NATO? • Afghanistan: Merkel Has "No Time" for Burden Sharing Proposals • Rupert Murdoch: Alliance Based on Shared Values, not Geography Military Leaders Outline Plan for New Transatlantic BargainPosted by Kyle Atwell in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Friday, January 25. 2008
A group of European and American military leaders co-authored a report that was released last week, titled Toward a Grand Strategy for an Uncertain World, Renewing Transatlantic Partnership (PDF version available from CSIS). The top brass – all with NATO experience – argue that the Alliance remains critical to both Europe and the US:
We are convinced that there is no security for Europe without the US, but we also dare to submit that there is no hope for the US to sustain its role as the world’s sole superpower without the Europeans as allies.The manifesto begins by arguing that many current and future threats – such as terrorism, international crime, demographic shifts, energy security, climate change, etc. – cannot effectively be addressed by any single country on its own. Instead, NATO provides the best opportunity for western countries to address new threats because it "links together a group of countries that share the most important values and convictions and that took a decision to defend those values and convictions collectively." Continue reading "Military Leaders Outline Plan for New Transatlantic Bargain"
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The Future of Transatlantic RelationsPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Friday, December 21. 2007 The election of new "pro-American" leaders in Europe will not lead to closer and better transatlantic cooperation. Shared values are not enough. Different interests (often based on geographic location) limit the future strength of transatlantic relations. Nikolas K. Gvosdev, Editor of The National Interest, in an interview with the Atlantic Community (full disclosure: my day job):
Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations, argues in the Financial Times (subscribers only) that "transatlantic cooperation will be less predictable and more selective:"
Robert Kagan, however, is more optimistic about transatlantic cooperation, or more specifically: cooperation between democracies. He sees a tendency towards solidarity among the world's autocracies as well as among the world's democracies. Summary of his arguments is available at "The World Divided Between Autocracy and Democracy" on Atlantic Community. Steyn: "World Should Give Thanks for America"Posted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Thursday, November 22. 2007 Hyperbole Alert! Mark Steyn writes in the OC Register:
Well, some European relief agencies are pretty fast as well: German relief experts at work in New Orleans. Still, I agree that the US military is the fastest and biggest provider of emergency help around the world. And Berliners continue to be grateful for the Airlift: During the 15 months long blockade of West Berlin in 1948-49, the US Air Force delivered everything the West-Berliners needed to survive (food, fuel, medicine, hope) in 190.000 flights. I tend to agree with Steyn's comment on the European "token forces," but I doubt that "the world would very quickly be nastier and bloodier, and far more unstable," if the US reduced its defense spending. He is exaggerating the influence the United States currently has. Anyway, Germans continue to have many reasons to be thankful for everything Americans have done for us. And I am thankful for many things, including the constantly growing number of Atlantic Review readers, commenters and guest bloggers. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen! I wish you all a Happy Thanksgiving! Germans probably are not very thankful for Defense Secretary Gates' decision to freeze plans for further reducing Army forces in Europe. It is my impression that Germans don't consider US bases in Germany as a requirement for national security. (German readers, what do think?) The local communities surrounding the bases, however, will probably be thrilled to be able to continue business with the US forces. The New York Times reports that the US "will maintain about 40,000 soldiers in Germany and Italy, nearly twice as many as had been envisioned under a drawdown that began two years ago, according to senior Pentagon and military officials." This issue was discussed on Atlantic Review last week, when Gates has not yet made the decision: US Forces May Stay Longer in Europe. Ambassador Crocker Sees Increased European Support for IraqPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Monday, September 17. 2007 "The US ambassador to Baghdad has said that he has seen a greater recognition from some European countries that they have a stake in the outcome in Iraq," reports Yahoo News. Ryan Crocker referred to the recent visits to Baghdad by French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner and his Swedish counterpart Carl Bildt:
I think Ambassador Crocker is too optimistic regarding European help. A video clip with Crocker's statement is posted below the fold. There is some advertisement, but so far all ads were for a good cause.Continue reading "Ambassador Crocker Sees Increased European Support for Iraq" NATO's Split Personality: Why The Rapid Response Force Is Not Fully OperationalPosted by Editors in Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, September 6. 2007 NATO's Rapid Response Force (NRF) is not at full operational capability, because member states had pledged only about 75 per cent of what was needed, according to General John Craddock, NATO's top military commander, whose letter to NATO secretary general Jaap de Hoop Scheffer is covered in the Financial Times. The German business daily Handelsblatt (via Finger.Zeig) even claims that the United States have "suddenly" reduced its actual contribution down to 5 per cent of the pledged contingent, therefore the NRF's supposed strength of 25,000 is just "above 50 per cent," i.e. lower than the number mentioned in the Financial Times. Our regular reader and commentator Don Stadler, an American software engineer in England, wrote the following guest blog post on this matter for Atlantic Review:Continue reading "NATO's Split Personality: Why The Rapid Response Force Is Not Fully Operational" Prostitution in IraqPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Sunday, August 26. 2007 Two Iraqi mothers tell CNN they turned to prostitution to help feed their children: "It's a taboo that no one is speaking about," says Yanar Mohammed, head and founder of the Organization for Women's Freedom in Iraq, and adds: "There is a huge population of women who were the victims of war who had to sell their bodies, their souls and they lost it all. It crushes us to see them, but we have to work on it and that's why we started our team of women activists." Her team pounds the streets of Baghdad looking for these victims often too humiliated to come forward.Can you imagine anything worse? Are family and government safety nets not working anymore? Why isn't there (more) support for widows? Why can't coalition forces and the Iraqi army hand out enough food for all hungry women and children? Continue reading "Prostitution in Iraq" French Pro-AmericanismPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, July 26. 2007
"Whenever a French person does something anti-American, we hear about it. But when 2500 French do something pro-American..." writes someone on Digg and links to a project on Omaha Beach on July 4, 2007:
The crowd formed on the sand the letters of the phrase: “FRANCE WILL NEVER FORGET”, aimed at honoring the fallen American heroes who scarified their lives to liberate France at the end of WW II.RELATED: David Frum of the National Review noticed that tobacconists in France sell firecrackers. That's why he does not take European "complains" about the American gun lobby seriously. Debatable Land asks whether Frum is joking. I can't answer that question. I am German and don't have a sense of humor. Considering the Consequences of Withdrawal from IraqPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, July 24. 2007
Peter W Rodman and William Shawcross argue in a NYT op-ed that the consequences of defeat in Iraq would be as disastrous for the region and for the United States as the 1975 Communist victory in Vietnam was for Cambodia and Vietnam.
Defeat would embolden extremists and destabilize moderate governments in the Arab world. "Millions of Iraqis see the United States as their only hope." Besides, "US conduct in Iraq is crucial test of American credibility." Marc Schulman reviews this op-ed in his blog AMERICAN FUTURE and adds: Our defeat in Vietnam and the subsequent isolationist sentiment made it easier for the Soviets to decide to take the risk [to invade Afghanistan]. Without engaging in historical determinism, it’s fair to say that the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan set in motion a chain of events that culminated in 9/11. In the minds of bin Laden and his compatriots, the jihadists had defeated one of the world’s two superpowers and were responsible for its collapse. (...)PERSONAL COMMENT: The real question is: Can the US still win in Iraq? In other words: Can the US avoid all the above mentioned negative consequences, if the US stays in Iraq with current number of US troops for three or five more years? Those in favor of immediate withdrawal do not like a defeat either, but they think that the US cannot win in Iraq, i.e. the US can only decide between a defeat/withdrawal now or defeat/withdrawal in two, three, or five years. So do you want the above mentioned negative consequences now or in two, three, or five years? Perhaps those in favor of staying in Iraq could explain how many more years they want to give this Iraq project and what number of coalition forces casualties is acceptable to them. It is very much in Europe's interest that the US succeeds in Iraq, because Europe would suffer from a further destabilization of the region. Thus, it is in my interest to call upon the United States to stay at least ten more years in Iraq. If the US succeeds, that is great for Europe. If the US fails and all hell breaks lose after the US withdrawal in ten years, then we Europeans at least got ten more years. Thus I should be against a US withdrawal. I am, however, not very optimistic that the US will succeed within ten years. I tend to believe that the US cannot fix Iraq. Thus, I am wondering if it can still be justified to send young American and British men and women into this war, if I tend to think that the US will lose. As a German, who benefited so much from the US military, I do not have the right to call upon the Americans to risk their lives in an unwinnable war. This line of thought might also be one of the reasons, why German politicans do not say whether the US should stay or withdraw from Iraq. What do you think? NY Times Calls for Immediate Withdrawal from IraqPosted by Editors in US Foreign Policy on Wednesday, July 11. 2007
The United States should leave Iraq "without any more delay than the Pentagon needs to organize an orderly exit," which would require more than six months, according to the New York Times Editorial of July 8, 2007. Staying in Iraq would make matters worse. The NYT is aware that
Iraq, and the region around it, could be even bloodier and more chaotic after Americans leave. There could be reprisals against those who worked with American forces, further ethnic cleansing, even genocide. Potentially destabilizing refugee flows could hit Jordan and Syria. Iran and Turkey could be tempted to make power grabs. Perhaps most important, the invasion has created a new stronghold from which terrorist activity could proliferate. The administration, the Democratic-controlled Congress, the United Nations and America’s allies must try to mitigate those outcomes — and they may fail. But Americans must be equally honest about the fact that keeping troops in Iraq will only make things worse.What about leaving some troops in Kurdistan to prevent the worst?: Leaving troops in Iraq might make it too easy — and too tempting — to get drawn back into the civil war and confirm suspicions that Washington’s real goal was to secure permanent bases in Iraq.The NYT wants European allies to help with the refugee crisis and with pressuring Iraq's neighbors to abstain from power grabs. Well, Europe's possibilities in these regards are limited, but of course it is in our interest to help as much as we can. What else could and should Europe do? UPDATE: For a different point of view, read "Misunderstanding the Surge" by Frederick W. Kagan in The Weekly Standard. This military historian, who is credited with the "surge" plan, argued on June 5, 2007: "The New York Times wrongly judges the plan and the commanders who are executing it." Vigilant, But Not AfraidPosted by Joerg Wolf in on Sunday, July 1. 2007
After three failed terror attacks in London and Glasgow, the Brits continue with the big public events this weekend, like the Gay Pride Parade, Wimbledon and the concert for Diana. The German paper Tagesspiegel praises the "stiff upper lip." The Nosemonkey in London has the right attitude and writes "Terrorists these days are rubbish."
Would Germans and Americans be as cool and continue with business as usual? Shortly after the London attacks of 7/7/2005, the We're not Afraid campaign started. Remember the funny pictures demonstrating fearlessness in solidarity with Britain and in defiance of the global terror movements? A good reminder from the "We're not Afraid" About us page:We refuse to respond to aggression and hatred in kind. Instead, we who are not afraid will continue to live our lives the best way we know how. We will work, we will play, we will laugh, we will live. We will not waste one moment, norRelated posts in the Atlantic Review: • Responding to "Al-Qaeda's Revival" • The State of Emergency Infrastructure • Increased Terror Threat: Germans in Pakistani Terror Camps
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