Political Asylum for Thousands of Iraqi Christians in Germany?Posted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, April 22. 2008 German conservative interior minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has come out with a bold initiative to provide asylum for thousands of Iraqi Christians forced to leave their homeland in recent years because of religious persecution at the hands of Muslim extremist groups, writes Ulf Gartzke in the The Weekly Standard Blog: According to the Schaeuble plan, which is backed by the interior ministers of the 16 German states, Iraqi Christians would be allowed to stay in Germany until conditions on the ground in Iraq have improved to the point where they can return home. While the Interior Ministry has not officially come out with any concrete refugees quotas, Berlin insiders believe that Germany could end up accepting anywhere between 5,000 and 7,000 Iraqi Christians per year. Related post in the Atlantic Review: Small Town in Sweden Accepted More Iraqi Refugees than the Entire United States Small Town in Sweden Accepted More Iraqi Refugees than the Entire United StatesPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Friday, April 11. 2008 The United States has admitted less than 5,000 Iraqi refugees between April 2003 through the end of March while Sweden has accepted 34,000 since 2003 according to Congressman Alcee Hastings, chairman of the Helsinki Commission, an independent US government agency led by members of Congress. The International Herald Tribune writes that the commission held a hearing with Anders Lago, the mayor of Sodertalje, Sweden. He said that his small city of about 80,000 was now home to nearly 6,000 Iraqis. "More refugees than the United States and Canada together." The IHT also points out that "the Bush administration said Thursday it remained optimistic it would meet its goal of admitting 12,000 Iraqi refugees by the end of September." Related articles in the Atlantic Community by Jan Bittner: Iraqi Refugees: The West Overlooks a Major Crisis and Iraqi Refugees: Open Western Doors to the Most Vulnerable, referring to the Iraqi Christians in particular. 5 Years After the Transatlantic Controversy over IraqPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Sunday, March 23. 2008 Dialog International scans the German press coverage regarding the Iraq war anniversary and translates a Sueddeutsche Zeitung interview with Gunter Pleuger, Germany's ambassador to the United Nations during the run-up to the war. Pleuger speaks about his impressions of Colin Powell's presentation at the UN Security Council: It was all very surreal. Most of us in the UN auditorium knew that what Powell was presenting had no basis in reality. But we couldn't imagine that Colin Powell would deliberately present falsehoods. I beg to differ with Dialog International's the headline "Bush's War Enters its Sixth Year." It is America's war. A majority of Americans were in favor of the war in 2003. The United States is a democracy with various powerful branches of government and with a free press. Thus I would not blame the war on Bush only. Writing in Foreign Policy Magazine (subscribers only) Alasdair Roberts described Iraq as "The War We Deserve." And Gerd at Anglofritz is fed up with the Iraq Blame Game, specifically US accusations of Germany regarding "Curveball." Related post in the Atlantic Review: Schadenfreude? How the Smearing of Iraq War Critics Has Changed Endnote: Think Progress writes about a book by Chile's ambassador to the UN: U.S. ‘threatened’ countries that didn’t support Iraq war. (Link fixed) Polish-American Relations Regarding Iraq, Iran, Russia and NATOPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, March 20. 2008 At my day job at Atlantic Community, we have published quite a few interesting articles on US-Polish issues. Polish perspectives are under-reported in the German and American mass media, but they are important because Poland is one of Europe's bigger countries, is considered very Pro-American and was seen as the primary "New Europe" country, a term that is less frequently used these days, but is still controversial. Marek Swierczynski, a journalist at the Polish TV channel TVP, reflects on the fifth anniversary of the Iraq war:
Ryan R. Miller of the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) in Washington, DC. writes about Poland's Iran Option:
Wess Mitchell, who is the Director of Research at CEPA, outlines recent developments between the United States and Poland regarding the US missile defense program. He concludes that relations between Poland and Russia are likely to deteriorate and Tusk may have compromised himself by acting so decisively this early in his term: Missile Defense: Poland Has Less Room to Maneuver. Anna Nadgrodkiewicz sums up contentious issues in Polish-American relations: Polish troops in Iraq and Afghanistan, the necessity of easing visa requirements, and the proposed missile defense shield. See her article Managing Image and Expectations. Marek Swierczynski sees NATO at a Crossroad in a second article:
Parag Khanna: "Europe's Influence Grows at America's Expense"Posted by Kyle Atwell in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Monday, January 28. 2008
The short-lived age of US hegemony is over, with no hope of return. Instead of comfortable primacy, the United States will struggle as one of three global superpowers.
This is the 21st century described by Parag Khanna in an essay published in New York Times Magazine, titled “Waving Goodbye to Hegemony” (HT: David Vickrey). Khanna, a Senior Research Fellow at the New America Foundation, bases the essay on his new book, “The Second World: Empires and Influence in the New Global Order,” to be published by Random House in March (the book is already the second bestseller at Amazon). Here is Khanna’s line of argument: Continue reading "Parag Khanna: "Europe's Influence Grows at America's Expense""
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Defined tags for this entry: Afghanistan, Alliance, China, Clinton, European Union, Iraq, McCain, Obama, Russia, Stategy
Does Turkey See the United States or Europe as a More Reliable Partner?Posted by Kyle Atwell in Transatlantic Relations on Sunday, January 6. 2008 Bulent Kenes opines in Today’s Zaman that US support for Turkey’s military operations against the Kurdish Worker’s Party (PKK) is a breakthrough for Turkish sovereignty: Today’s Zaman also reports that Turkey will not join the International Criminal Court in the foreseeable future, despite pressure from the EU to do so:
I wonder how this will affect Turkey’s accession to the EU? The EU did not set Turkish ICC membership as a mandatory precursor for EU membership, but Turkey’s decision to stay out of the court will undoubtedly provide fuel for the anti-Turkey fire burning across Europe. Does Turkey see the US as a more reliable partner than Europe? First, in an ideal world this question would not need to be asked since Turkey is a member of NATO, and all NATO members are presumed to be reliable allies. When you are done laughing at how far from the truth this is (see my previous post War for Dummies for more), here are some initial thoughts to the question: While US and Turkish cooperation against the PKK is probably more circumstantial rather than signifying some greater paradigm shift as Kenes suggests, it is nonetheless a positive step for US-Turkey relations after they hit a low leading up to the Iraq war. Concomitantly, Euro-Turkey relations continue to decline as Turkey becomes increasingly frustrated with its spurious EU accession process. I especially think Turkey has little chance of accession to the EU with the influential anti-Turk Sarkozy as Frances’ president. So if current trends continue, Turkey will increasingly view the US as a more reliable partner than Europe. New Year's Eve: Silly or Serious?Posted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, US Foreign Policy on Monday, December 31. 2007 It's the same procedure as every year: Millions of Germans watch "Dinner for One" every New Year's Eve since 1972. It is "as big a tradition in Germany as the crystal ball drop is in New York's Times Square," writes Patrick Donahue for Bloomberg. You can watch the 10 minutes British comedy on Youtube. It is so funny, it never got dubbed into German. As Observing Hermann points out: "A bit strange maybe, but aren't most traditions - when they're not yours, I mean?" Many in the media write every year that this New Year's Eve tradition is strange and that this silly slapstick never got popular in the UK or the US. Of course, I could point out that US upholders of moral standards probably do not like to broadcast all that drinking and the sexual reference in the end. But that is all silly and not important. The end of a year should be a time for reflection, I believe. It's worthwhile to remember all the unknown people who have done good in the real December 31 was her birthday. Read last year's Tribute to Marla Ruzicka and other Idealists Risking their Lives out there. Actually, seriousness and silliness serve both their distinct purposes. It's all about finding the right balance in life between work and entertainment. Marla would definitely agree. And with these superficial words of wisdom 2007 comes to an end. Thank you for reading Atlantic Review. Stay tuned in 2008. All the best for the new year. Redefining Transatlantic RelationsPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Wednesday, December 5. 2007 Casualties in Iraq have decreased a bit, European leaders speak more softly and Russia is a bit more assertive. Now some on the right feel uplifted and apparently assume that the kids in Europe are running to their daddy America. At the weekend, I wrote about Charles Krauthammer's claim that "the rise of external threats to our allies has concentrated their minds on the need for the American connection." Victor Davis Hanson made similar claims in the National Review Online:
I don't think Chirac and Schroeder were the ones who "overplayed their hands," if you know what I mean... Besides, I wonder why Victor Davis Hanson considers Sarkozy and Merkel "staunchly pro-American." I'd thought that military historians would be a bit more skeptical about the rhetoric of politicians. What staunchly pro-American policy have Merkel and Sarkozy implemented? Or perhaps what we are seeing here is a trend of lowered expectations, which one commenter recently put this way: "Six years ago [America's] message to the world was 'you're with us or you're against us.' Now it's 'well, so long as you're not against us...'" Yet another way to look at it is: Europeans have not contributed very much to Iraq and "the good war" in Afghanistan. Many Americans don't see Europe as a crucial ally who has the power to help in America's hours of need. Thus nice statements and withholding public criticism is the only thing to expect from Europeans. If we Europeans want to be taken more seriously, we need to offer more. Blogosphere to Europe: No Free Rides on US BloodPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, November 10. 2007 American bloggers and their readers react with surprise and sarcasm to European calls for continued US engagement in Iraq. That's my main conclusion of the reactions to the Atlantic Community's survey of European analysts. Twenty blogs have linked to various parts of our survey results. Commenters on both conservative and liberal US blogs expressed strong disappointment, frustration and even anger at European policies on Iraq. American netizens also warn that involving Syria and Iran, which was one of the main suggestions from the surveyed European analysts, will be more difficult than it sounds. See my conclusion at Atlantic Community.Premature US Withdrawal Could Threaten EuropePosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Thursday, October 18. 2007 European analysts believe that American withdrawal from Iraq would spell disaster. Increased refugee flows, regional instability, cross-border violence, higher oil prices, terrorism within Europe, and increased American isolationism were the main predictions noted by 14 European policy analysts. I have interviewed them for the third part of the Atlantic Community survey on Iraq.
What I found very interesting was that among all the gloomy scenarios, one analyst from IFRI in Paris suggested that the regional conflagration could benefit the West: "low-level protracted warfare between the Saudis (also Al Qaida) and the Iranians through local proxies would tie them and wear them down, perhaps to the point where most of their respective energies would be focused on Iraq." Another analysts cut a long story short: "With a weakened United States, geopolitical vacations for Europe should be over."Declining Casualties in IraqPosted by Editors in US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, October 16. 2007 Marc Schulman does not expect the Democrats to take note of some positive developments in Iraq. He quotes the Washington Post in his American Future blog: In September, Iraqi civilian deaths were down 52 percent from August and 77 percent from September 2006, according to the Web site icasualties.org. The Iraqi Health Ministry and the Associated Press reported similar results. U.S. soldiers killed in action numbered 43 down 43 percent from August and 64 percent from May, which had the highest monthly figure so far this year.Last week, Marc wrote about about a NYT article describing a changed sectarian landscape: "Sunni extremists largely defeated in many Shiite neighborhoods" and Baghdad's Shiites "disillusioned" with the Mahdi Army. See his post: "Turn of the Tide in Iraq. None of these developments made (big) news in Germany. UPDATE: Today, the Washington Post also runs an Op-Ed by 12 former Army captains: "The Real Iraq We Knew." They argue that the US should "leave Iraq immediately," unless the draft is re-instituted: Even with "the surge," we simply do not have enough soldiers and marines to meet the professed goals of clearing areas from insurgent control, holding them securely and building sustainable institutions. (...) Nancy Pelosi Does Not Like Folks with "Impeach Bush"-T-Shirts on "Her" SidewalkPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Domestic and Cultural Issues on Thursday, October 11. 2007
Large parts of the so-called Democratic "base" are angry with their Congressmen and women over the "failure to end the war in Iraq." Now, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi complains to reporters about protestors:
This is so funny. And sad! Quotes are taken from the Washington Post. Chris Jones at Redstate considers it "the funniest thing I've ever heard." Well, I would not got that far. I might be living in the supposedly humorless Germany, but I have heard funnier things. JustOneMinute (via TMV) comments on this as well and quotes an article in the SF Chronicle about changing attitudes on homelessness in San Francisco, America's most liberal/progressive city and Nancy Pelosi's hometown. JustOneMinute concludes: "What's the old saying - a conservative is a liberal who has been thrown up on by reality?" Hey, Nancy Pelosi was very supportive of Cindy Sheehan, when she camped close to Bush's ranch in Crawford... Now Pelosi and Sheehan seem to have different opinions about each other's tactics (camping and funding the Iraq war). According to an August article in the SF Chronicle Sheehan announced her intention to run against Pelosi in her SF district. ENDNOTE: To balance the above criticism of the top Democrat in Congress, I would like to give big kudos to Senator Barack Obama for not wearing the American Flag pin like all (?) other ambitious politicians. I like his reasoning that the pin has become a substitute for "true patriotism" and that he prefers to "try to tell the American people what I believe will make this country great, and hopefully that will be a testament to my patriotism." In Europe, especially in Germany, flags are not as prominently displayed as in the US. Very very few politicians wear (tiny) pins with the flag of their country. The Volokh Conspiracy does not buy Obama's explanation and assumes that the American people are like a wife, who expects her husband to constantly say "I love you!" Therefore presidential candidates need to walk around with the US flag in order to win elections. How sad. And it is even sadder that many US media outlets write so much about Obama's 'missing' flag pin. FAIR concludes: "Trivia again distracts media from issues voters care about."
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