World Trade negotiations in crisis, EU punishes U.S., and wine dealPosted by Editors in International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Tuesday, May 2. 2006
The negotiators at the World Trade Organization (WTO) failed to meet the April deadline to agree on ground rules for the liberalization of world markets for agricultural and industrial products. According to Oxford Analytica's op-ed in The Hill:
Progress in the Doha Round has consistently fallen short of even the most pessimistic expectations. Four years of talks in Geneva have provided the necessary technical basis for liberalization agreements, but key countries remain unwilling to make politically difficult choices necessary for progress. For example:Likewise, the Washington Times opines: If, as many observers argued, the Doha round on trade liberalization was on life support before highly regarded U.S. Trade Representative Rob Portman left last week to become White House budget director, it is hard to imagine what can be done to resuscitate trade negotiations now. (...) The political obstacles lined up to block an agreement in the United States pale compared to what confronts European negotiators and politicians in their homelands. If French President Jacques Chirac caved into the pressure from unions and student protesters over relatively minor reforms in France's labor law, imagine how quickly French nerve would collapse when Mr. Chirac or his successor is confronted by French farmers taken off the dole. Italy's political problems are equally daunting. With his political capital reduced, President Bush has apparently decided to cut his losses and toss the Doha failure on the heap next to Social Security reform and tax reform.Oxford Analytica concludes that time is now "desperately short to complete the negotiations." While past trade negotiations have also been beset by crises and delays, the lack of a real commitment by many parties "makes the outcome increasingly doubtful." According to the Financial Times the US and European Union blamed each other for the setback: Peter Mandelson, EU trade commissioner, accused the US of lacking realism on agriculture, while the US trade representative's office said it wished the EU would put the same energy into the negotiations as it did in finger-pointing.EU PUNISHES U.S. FOR VIOLATION OF WTO RULES: The European Union on Monday imposed new tariffs on U.S. goods, because U.S. companies continue to benefit from the Byrd amendment. From the BBC: The anti-dumping amendment lets US firms raise a levy from competitors' goods which it deems to be too cheap. The amendment was ruled illegal over a year ago and repealed in February, but US firms are expected to benefit from it for a further two years. This latest penalty brings the total extra tariffs imposed upon the US to $36.9m. Peter Mandelson - the EU trade commissioner - has said that while the trade dispute has been resolved, US firms are still receiving payments. (...) Since the Byrd amendment was passed in 2000, manufacturers in the metals and food businesses among others, have been the recipients of billions of dollars in payments.Trade disputes should not be exaggerated. The IHT points out: In a statement, the EU said the Byrd Amendment "has been a long-running irritant in the U.S.-EU trade relationship," but it added "that the huge bulk of EU-U.S. trade is trouble-free."THE GOOD NEWS: A fine wine sometimes needs some time. After only 20 years of negotiations, the European Union and the United States signed a bilateral wine accord in March 2006, which will bring major benefits for EU wine producers, says the EU: It will help EU winemakers to build on their current success in the US, which is by far the EU's largest export market. Annual EU wine exports to the US are worth more than 2 billion euros, around 40 percent of EU exports in terms of value. This agreement provides a clear demonstration that the US and the EU can resolve important and complex issues through bilateral negotiations and both sides are committed to doing so in the future. Germany's Energy Summit should reduce dependence on Russian oil and gasPosted by Joerg Wolf in International Economics on Monday, April 3. 2006
Industrial leaders, trade unions and politicians are meeting today to discuss long-term energy security, diversification and free-market reforms. The International Herald Tribune explains that Germany is one of the most energy dependent EU countries:
The energy sector is heavily dependent on oil and gas. Mineral oils make up 37 percent of needs, but 97 percent is imported, a third coming from Russia. Gas accounts for 23 percent of consumption, of which more than 80 percent is imported, 37 percent from Russia. (...) With growing dependence on Russia for its energy, some politicians say it is time to diversify sources. The coalition's energy experts also agree that Germany needs a policy that is much more aggressive in dealing with global warming, promoting efficiency and becoming economically competitive.Germany's dependence on Russia is much stronger than US dependence on Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. The IHT quotes Friedemann Müller, an energy expert at the German Institute for International Policy and Security: Germany's energy policy has for years been influenced by the big companies that have hampered competition and have done their best to prevent diversification of energy sources because it would undermine their position in the market. These policies damage our economy and our competitiveness. (...) For 20 years Ruhrgas, which has long term contracts to import gas from Russia, has owned a piece of property at one of the big harbors where it has blocked the building of such a terminal because it would undermine their monopoly on the domestic gas market.Recently it was revealed that the Schröder government offered a government loan guarantee for the Russian pipeline project. Merkel's long-term energy concept is not expected till 2007. Today's energy summit is overshadowed by a debate to use nuclear power longer than previously decided. If you would like to save energy and money, check out the Online Advisor for fridges, freezers, heating and pumping systems. Fulbright Alumnus Steffen Schmuck-Soldan, PhD, works for the NGO co2online, which created them. Germany has become more attractive to U.S. investorsPosted by Joerg Wolf in International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Friday, March 17. 2006
The American Chamber of Commerce and The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) surveyed 150 U.S. investors and found out:
With 120 billion euros in investments and 850,000 direct jobs, Germany is a center of U.S. investment in Europe and has gained in attractiveness relative to Great Britain. (...) More than 30 percent of U.S. companies in Germany anticipate hiring in 2006; 44 percent want to increase investment; 72 percent view the recent change in government as positive; the automotive and pharmaceutical industries give Germany only middling grades: competitiveness must be ensured. The year 2005 was good for U.S. companies in Germany: 58 percent saw increased revenues, and 76 percent expect further growth in 2006. The AmCham Business Barometer 2005/2006 suggests cautious optimism among U.S. investors.More about the survey, incl. criticism of the state of research and development in Germany in the BCG press release. Bipartisan outcry against Dubai Port DealPosted by Sonja Bonin in US Domestic and Cultural Issues on Friday, March 17. 2006
In an unusually unanimous, bipartisan outcry, both politicians and the public reacted to a proposed deal of the Bush administration which would have put a company from Dubai in charge of six major ports in the US, including Newark, New York, Baltimore and Miami. The company has since withdrawn its bid, saving Bush a showdown on the matter. But the discussion has once more drawn attention to some of the prevailing security gaps that frighten the population. According to the New York Times, only 5.6 percent of containers headed into the US are screened by gamma-ray machines or manually. Experts have been quoted calling port security "a card house.". With New Orleans still lying in ruins half a year after hurricane Katrina, more Americans seem to loose faith in the government's ability to protect them - and their interest in even thinking about it. Three articles about the port deal in the International Herald Tribune.
The Economist: Germany in danger of "Americanization" without the good pointsPosted by Editors in International Economics on Friday, February 10. 2006
Half a year ago, the Economist survey of America concluded that the US is an extraordinarily dynamic country, but its very mobility may now be drawing people apart. Now the Economist published one of its well written and researched surveys about Germany, which describes how
Germany's institutions have slid from virtue to vice: in politics, in the labour market, in education, in competition policy and elsewhere. It is not that the country has not tried to change. But most of these changes have been designed to optimise existing systems rather than change them fundamentally.The summary of this survey is available for free and states that the risk of poverty has greatly increased, that Germany is already doing less well than many other European countries in terms of social justice. Germany has already ceased to be the "equitable middle-class society" with a "social elevator" for everybody, "if the think-tanks have their numbers right." However: Many of its global companies have never been more competitive. With exports of nearly $1 trillion in 2005, this medium-sized country (smaller than the American state of Montana, but with 82m people) already sells more goods in the world market than any other. Investment and domestic demand are also picking up at last, so Germany's economic outlook at home, too, has brightened. (...) But the labour market does not seem to have turned the corner yet: in January, unemployment before seasonal adjustment again hit 5m, or 12.1% of the workforce. (...) Most importantly, if it [Germany] does not start tackling its structural problems in earnest soon, it may find itself stuck with something its people dread: amerikanische Verhältnisse, or "American conditions", code for a socially polarised society in which workers are hired and fired at an employer's whim. The risk is that Germany's labour market, in particular, will end up "Americanised", but without the good points of the American one, such as its openness and inclusiveness, argues Wolfgang Streeck, head of the Cologne-based Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.In August 2005, The Economist described the reforms much more positively and was more optimistic about Germany's economy. Access to that article only for subscribers, but there is a free German Handelsblatt report. The magic triangle: Europe, China and the U.S.Posted by Editors in International Economics on Friday, April 15. 2005 The leading neo-con magazine “The Weekly Standard” runs an article on transatlantic disagreements on free trade, airbus and agricultural subsidies, the The Europeans and the developing nations profess horror at the appointment of Paul Wolfowitz to head the World Bank. They say he doesn't know anything about development, but really worry that he knows too much: that loans to undemocratic kleptocracies might fatten Swiss bank accounts, but do little to fatten starving citizens of so-called developing countries. But Gerhard Schröder and his friends were reluctant to oppose the Wolfowitz appointment, lest they appear to be snubbing President Bush's recent friendly overtures. So they approved the appointment, and will seek a quid pro quo--the appointment of
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