Iraq Study Group Recommendations and the European UnionPosted by Editors in US Foreign Policy on Thursday, December 7. 2006
[UPDATE: Dialog International translates parts of the German press coverage.]
In presenting the Iraq Study Group report, James A. Baker III. (video) made a blunt assessment: Struggling in a world of fear, the Iraqis themselves dare not dream. They have been liberated from the nightmare of a tyrannical order only to face the nightmare of brutal violence.The bi-partisan panel made 79 recommendations (pdf), some of them involve the European Union (and Germany specifically): RECOMMENDATION 5: The Support Group should consist of Iraq and all the states bordering Iraq, including Iran and Syria; the key regional states, including Egypt and the Gulf States; the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council; the European Union; and, of course, Iraq itself. Other countries—for instance, Germany, Japan and South Korea—that might be willing to contribute to resolving political, diplomatic, and security problems affecting Iraq could also become members.• The Iraq Study Group states that the European Union and others "need to become hands-on participants in Iraq's reconstruction." • The report calls for a Middle East peace conference (like the Madrid Conference in 1991) with two separate tracks (Israel-Palestine and Israel-Syria/Lebanon) that could possibly by under the auspices of the Quartett, of which the EU is a member. • The report discusses what is at stake for the US and mentions: "A senior European official told us that failure in Iraq could incite terrorist attacks within his country." Only one? The Associated Press writes about the Iraq Study Group report in general: After nearly four years of war and the deaths of more than 2,900 U.S. troops, the situation is "grave and deteriorating" and America's ability "to influence events within Iraq is diminishing," the commission warned. It recommended the U.S. reduce "political, military or economic support" for Iraq if the government in Baghdad cannot make substantial progress toward providing for its own security. The report said Bush should put aside misgivings and engage Syria, Iran and the leaders of insurgent forces in negotiations on Iraq's future, to begin by year's end. It urged him to revive efforts at a broader Middle East peace. Barring a significant change, it warned of a "slide toward chaos." In a slap at the Pentagon, the commission said there is "significant underreporting" of the actual level of violence in the country. It also faulted the U.S. intelligence effort, saying the government "still does not understand very well either the insurgency in Iraq or the role of the militias."Related post in the Atlantic Review: German President Koehler Calls for more European Help to Stabilise Iraq Could European Economies Withstand a US Downturn?Posted by Editors in International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Wednesday, December 6. 2006
The Financial Times (via EU Digest) begins its analysis with:
Currency traders have become convinced over the past two weeks that something big is afoot in the global economy. They are not convinced by the sanguine noises coming from the Federal Reserve and think the risks of a "hard landing" in the US economy have risen. But, in a departure from the old wisdom, they do not seem worried about the effects of a US downturn on European economies – rejecting the old adage that "when the US sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold". They appear to be trading on the belief that, while US interest rates will fall in an effort to counter a slowdown, European rates will continue to rise – and, by implication, that Europe's economic upswing has some way to go. This has led to steep declines in the dollar, which tumbled to a 20-month low against the euro and to a 14-year trough against sterling.According to DW World, Germany is in "Sustainable Recovery": Germans will need a bigger cart to satisfy their current shopping urges. Consumer polls and expert forecasts paint a rosy picture for the German economy. But will unemployment decline quickly enough to offset the negative effects that next year's VAT hike will have on consumer spending? The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said on Tuesday that it expects the German economy will continue to expand in the coming two years. In its latest World Economic Outlook, the OECD predicted that growth in gross domestic product would reach 2.6 percent in 2006, 1.8 percent in 2007 and 2.1 percent in 2008.Those are rather modest numbers compared to US growth in recent years. Still, the ILO-labour market statistics are welcome news: "The number of unemployed was down by 450,000 (–12.7%) on a year earlier. This means that employment showed the highest, and unemployment the lowest October level since 2001." Strong EU-U.S. TradePosted by Editors in International Economics on Wednesday, November 22. 2006
According to the European Commission:
The EU and US are responsible together for about two fifths of world trade. Trade flows across the Atlantic are running at around €1.7 billion a day. In the year 2003, the total amount of two-way investment was over €1.5 trillion, composed of €731 billion of EU Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the US and around €772 billion of US FDI in Europe. The overall "transatlantic workforce" is estimated at 12 to 14 million, of which roughly half are Americans who owe their jobs directly or indirectly to EU companies. In the year 2005, exports of EU goods to the US amounted to €250 billion, while imports from the US amounted to €234 billion. Concerning trade in services, EU exports to the US amounted to €108.6 billion in 2004 while EU imports from the US amounted to €93.0 billion.One of those trade disputes is that the EU and the US accuse each other of granting illegal subsidies to Boeing and Airbus. See "U.S. details complaint on Airbus subsidies" in International Herald Tribune and the latest statements on this dispute from the European Union. I have not found the latest statement from the US Trade representative, but only a US press release concerning that never ending dispute from May 2005, which indicates that this is a long dispute... Related: Our reader ROA recommends "Jumbo Trouble: The Airbus A380 was supposed to be the future of aviation. Will it ever get off the ground?" in Popular Mechanics. A European Army with a Single Command?Posted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Monday, November 20. 2006 "Kurt Beck, leader of the Social Democrats, called Monday [November 6th] for a European army with a single command, the first time a German political party has proposed such a structure. If adopted, it could lead to the European Union pursuing a security and defense policy independent of NATO." writes Judy Dempsey in the International Herald Tribune (HT: EU Digest) and adds: Beck told delegates during a special meeting in Berlin that such defense ambitions for the EU would not rupture the trans-Atlantic relationship because, without the United States, "we cannot solve global problems." However, instead of "following" or "adhering" to the United States, he said, the Europeans should establish a partnership "based on quality. This is the particular challenge for Europe."Ms. Dempsey writes about a security expert at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute: An EU move toward establishing its own force, Dunay said, could lead to more efficient defense spending at a juncture when countries are reluctant to increase military budgets while being asked by the United Nations in particular to join peacekeeping missions.The Atlantic Review wrote about EU plans to increase joint defense spending. Beck's suggestion was already rejected by Poland, and Ms. Dempsey points out that this issue was considered a "direct threat to the alliance and the trans-Atlantic relationship" three years ago. I am not aware of any debate in Germany after Kurt Beck's comments. The leading role for NATO in Germany's New Security and Defense Policy Review has not been contested by any politician as far as I can tell. • The perception that a common EU defence policy is unworkable is based on myths that undermine pragmatic integration of defence policies, argues Constanze Stelzenmueller of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Continue reading "A European Army with a Single Command?" European Union Directive: American Exporters Must Use the Metric System OnlyPosted by Joerg Wolf in International Economics, Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, November 4. 2006
Our reader ROA writes: "Anyone from an EU country that complains about the US being power mad, arrogant, fascist, bullying, etc. should be ashamed of themselves. I personally would like to see the US implement the metric system, but think the EU's attempt to block any measurements other than metric is an example of a power mad megalomaniac bureaucracy run amok." ROA refers to the European Union Metric Directive, which means according to the U.S. Government's Export Portal:
After January 1, 2000, all products sold in the EU needed to specify and label in metric measurements only. Prior to implementation, the European Commission recommended a 10-year deferral of the metric-only directive, allowing companies to use dual labeling through 2009. The delay provides time for U.S. companies to prepare for a metric-only European market beginning January 1, 2010. After the EU Directive takes effect, member and associated countries will no longer permit dual indications of measurement. U.S. exporters can no longer label or print inches, pounds, or any other non-metric measurement on shipments. This affects labels, packaging, advertising, catalogs, technical manuals, and instructions.The US Department of Commerce organized a public forum on the EU's Metric Directive for all interested stakeholders on October 12, 2006. A Telegraph blog post, recommended by ROA, argues: An extraordinary row, involving major European and US industries, is blowing up over the European Commission's determination to make it illegal, in three years' time, for any products made in or imported into the EU to carry any reference to non-metric measures. Not only will this cost industries on both sides of the Atlantic billions of dollars and euros, but it is in direct breach of US federal law. The Commission is so set on stamping out the hated non-metric system that, as of January 1, 2010, it is imposing a total ban on what it calls "supplementary indications" – ie any mention of inches, pounds or other non-metric units in advertising, labelling, catalogues, manuals and the like.I doubt whether the directive is in breach of US law. The Telegraph blogger explains "Any European firm wishing to sell to the US will not be allowed to refer at all to the units its American customers understand. This in itself will be illegal under the US Fair Trade and Packaging Act, which permits use of metric units only so long as they are accompanied by a US non-metric "translation"." Though, I can't imagine that the EU is telling European companies that they must use metric labels only for their exports to the US. That would be bad for our companies. I think the directive concerns only imports to the EU. Endnote: The European Commission's Press Office in London debunks Euromyths. Re Metrication: Metrication in the UK is not the result of British membership of the EU. In 1965, eight years before joining the EEC, the Wilson Government decided to initiate the UK's metrication programme, in response to global moves in this direction – Ireland and all Commonwealth countries had already adopted the metric system. Leading Role for NATO in Germany's New Security and Defense Policy ReviewPosted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, Transatlantic Relations on Friday, October 27. 2006
UPDATE: Marco Overhaus, a research fellow at the University of Trier and Fulbright Alumnus, describes Germany's new White Paper on security policy as a "Solid Basis for a Needed Debate.":
The White Paper devotes considerable space to describing the comparative advantages of both NATO (with its integrated military structure) and the European Union (with its broad array of foreign and security instruments) and quite frankly states that the current state of cooperation between both organizations is unsatisfactory. Certainly, a distinct feature of the present White Paper is its clear and unequivocal commitment to NATO as "the cornerstone of German security and defence policy." This is probably the clearest departure of German security policy under the previous government of Chancellor Schroeder who was willing to confront Washington and put more emphasis on the development of the European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP). (...)Overhaus also criticizes that the White Paper "shies away from honestly addressing the problems of German and international efforts to deal with the decreasing stability" in Afghanistan. His general assessment, however, tilts towards the positive. He concludes that "the White Paper should also be understood as a starting point for a national debate on security policy which is urgently needed as increasing international demands on Germany meet more scepticism on the domestic front." The Financial Times comments on the White Paper as well and argues that Germany"needs to get rid of conscription, a tradition that limits the country's military effectiveness." That won't happen anytime soon. [END of UPDATE] The New York Times writes about the new German Defense White Book: Germany will publish a defense and security policy review on Wednesday [October 25, 2006] that says the country is poised to play a major role in Europe without distancing itself from the NATO alliance. The review -- the first in 12 years -- is a sign that Germany has grown more confident and assertive about its place on the international stage, after decades spent living down the aggression and atrocities of the Nazi years and then knitting itself back into a single nation. (...) Continue reading "Leading Role for NATO in Germany's New Security and Defense Policy Review"
Permalink -
Comments (38)
Defined tags for this entry: Defense, European Union, Fulbrighter, Germany, Military, NATO, Strategy
Comparing Chancellor Merkel's and Schroeder's Perception of Russia and the USPosted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, Transatlantic Relations on Wednesday, October 25. 2006
Ex-Chancellor Schroeder is giving outspoken and controversial interviews to promote his autobiography. He is very critical of Chancellor Merkel, the trade unions, and of the growing influence of religious conservatives in the US, while at the same time defending Russia's president Putin.
As probably most Germans (and perhaps even Schroeder), Chancellor Merkel considers the US-German friendship much closer than the German-Russian strategic partnership. Continue reading "Comparing Chancellor Merkel's and Schroeder's Perception of Russia and the US"
Permalink -
Comments (17)
Defined tags for this entry: Economics, European Union, Germany, Merkel, Oil and Gas, Rule of Law, Strategy
Negotiations with Syria and Democracy Promotion in the Arab WorldPosted by Joerg Wolf in US Foreign Policy on Tuesday, October 24. 2006
While a German Intelligence analyst negotiates with Hezbollah for the release of Israel's kidnapped soldiers, what has the United States been doing lately in regard to the Middle East conflicts? Recently Secretary of State Condoleezza visited Israel for the sixth time in the course of a year and a half, writes Gideon Levy in Haaretz and then asks about those trips:
What has come of it? Has anyone asked her about this? Does she ask herself? It is hard to understand how the secretary of state allows herself to be so humiliated. It is even harder to understand how the superpower she represents allows itself to act in such a hollow and useless way. The mystery of America remains unsolved: How is it that the United States is doing nothing to advance a solution to the most dangerous and lengthiest conflict in our world?Levy's criticism of the US and Israel in the rest of his article is even harsher. [Via The Washington Note] While Secretary Rice visits Israel and "US friendly" Arab governments (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan) often, she has not yet visited Damascus, as far as I know. The Bush administration does not even have an ambassador in Syria, because he was recalled in February 2005 in the wake of the Hariri assassination, according to the State Department. Jim Lobe writes for the Inter Press Service News Agency about the Bush administration's refusal to talk to Damascus and about former Secretary of State James Baker, who stresses that he believes in talking to enemies: Continue reading "Negotiations with Syria and Democracy Promotion in the Arab World" "Germany's Comeback", Leadership and ExaggerationsPosted by Joerg Wolf in German Politics, Transatlantic Relations on Sunday, October 8. 2006
Washington Post columnist Jim Hoagland should be applauded for traveling to Berlin and writing about Germany. His column "Germany's Comeback" starts with a snark, which I don't mind at all, but I find it neither witty nor illuminating. I really wonder what his point is and what the benefit of "claiming to run the world" is:
Germany's richly deserved 60-year holiday from leadership abroad is ending sooner than many here would like. Since World War II, Germans have become comfortable with standing in the shadows of power while the Americans, the French and others shoulder the costly burden of claiming to run the world.Burden sharing is appropriate. However, Hoagland argues frequently that Germany has "to lead" and "to show leadership." Many Germans have historical problems with the German translation as it reminds them of Hitler as "Der Fuehrer." Okay, that's our problem, not Hoagland's. However, framing politics in that way does not make much sense in the 21st century. Politics is not show business, but about achieving results. Low-key, no-nonsense, business like approaches are usually more successful than "showing leadership." Germany needs partners to do that. Not followers. Thus, Hoagland should write that Germany has to promote European initiatives or convince the EU to do this or that. That's how the world works. Hardly any country follows U.S. leadership these days, i.e. it makes no sense to suggest that Germany should "show leadership", because nobody would "follow the German leader." I know that Americans use the word "leadership" in a very liberal sense, i.e. it includes something like "promoting EU initiatives" and "encouraging an international strategy on xyz." That's fine, but "leading" also means that others "follow" and neither individuals nor countries want to follow. Semantics are important in diplomacy. To achieve anything, it is important to create a feeling of common ownership (partners need to feel to have a stake in it). In 2002 and 2003 the United States tried to lead the free world in regard to Iraq, but the world did not follow. US policy on Iran is different. The EU is now responsible for Iran as well. Iran is now an EU problem too. Hoagland exaggerates: But with power vacuums developing on the country's eastern and western borderlands and the United States bogged down in Iraq, Berlin understands that it is condemned to lead. A visitor finds the capital beset with angst -- but also bubbling with ideas -- about the approaching German moment in international affairs.There is not anarchy (what else does "power vacuum" mean?) in Germany's "borderlands". Germany's neighbors are functioning democracies. Berlin isn't "beset with angst" but is cautious; as every country's executive and legislative branch should be. Most politicians understand Germany's limited resources and the need for a realistic policy in a dangerous and very complex international environment. Wishful thinking is not patriotism. I don't know who is stupid enough to dream about a "German moment" these days. Germany does not feel "condemned to lead." Is it really necessary to exaggerate in order to get an article about Germany published? Otherwise Jim Hoagland's praise of Germany is appreciated. My main criticism is about his terminology. I should not make a fuss about it, but I read such terminology and framing of world politics often. (Sure, European coverage of the United States is not much better either.) Read Hoagland's entire column. I have not found the other columns he mentioned, but I look forward to his future columns: Berlin's new diplomatic activism complements the recent groundbreaking German military deployments abroad that have been the subject of previous columns, and the efforts by Wolfgang Schaeuble, Merkel's highly able interior minister, to counter militant Islam's challenges to European concepts of freedom of speech and equality of the sexes, the subject of a future column here. Lack of Progress in KosovoPosted by Editors in Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, July 29. 2006
NATO has been in Kosovo for seven years and still cannot withdraw anytime soon. A new round of negotiations between Serbs and Kosovo Albanians about the future status of Kosovo have just failed, writes the EU Observer. For a comparison with Iraq, see the Atlantic Review's previous post: Double standards in media coverage of Iraq and Kosovo
German Major General Roland Kather will take over control of the NATO troops in Kosovo in September, reports Deutsche Welle (In English). With 2855 soldiers serving in Kosovo, KFOR is the largest Bundeswehr deployment, followed by ISAF (Afghanistan) with 2840 soldiers. Contrasting Perceptions and Failing to Win Hearts and MindsPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, July 1. 2006 Having read the coverage of the EU-US summit in several U.S. and German papers, I got the impression that the German papers focus on the lack of concrete results, while pointing out that President Bush wants to close Gitmo, is more supportive of EU policies on Israel/Palestine, Iran, and on the environment. The U.S. papers, however, focused on the dialogue between President Bush and the European press. According to the Voice of America, one journalist asked President Bush the inaccurate question why Europeans perceive America to be the greatest threat to global stability. And Raimund Loew, of Austrian Radio and TV, added: "So my question to you is, why do you think you have failed so badly to convince Europeans to win their hearts and minds?" President Bush responded: Look, people didn't agree with my decision on Iraq. And I understand that. For Europe, September the 11th was a moment; for us it was a change of thinking.I see an irony here, but it is just my personal analysis: I believe President Bush not only explained why he is so unpopular in Europe, but he also reinforced his unpopularity. President Bush did not seize this chance to win hearts and minds in Europe, but actually lost a few more hearts and minds because of the way he responded. Please, let me explain why and also elaborate on the poll and the press coverage of the summit and the German troops in Afghanistan: Continue reading "Contrasting Perceptions and Failing to Win Hearts and Minds" Amnesty International Accuses US of "Secret Flights to Torture and 'Disappearance'"Posted by Sonja Bonin in Transatlantic Relations, US Foreign Policy on Monday, May 22. 2006
Secret detention and "disappearances" of dissidents and political opponents are something that only happen in evil, undemocratic countries in South-or central America, right? Wrong. It happens on behalf of the United States all over the world, including Europe, says amnesty international USA. In a report dated April 5, 2006, the US is accused of "rendition" and "disappearance". Rendition, as defined by the human rights organization, is "the transfer of individuals from one country to another, by means that bypass all judicial and administrative due process." The number of cases appear to be in the hundreds, and "every one of the victims of rendition interviewed by Amnesty International has described incidents of torture and other ill-treatment."
In addition, the USA has acknowledged the capture of about 30 "high value" detainees whose whereabouts remain unknown. While before September 11, 2001, the rendition program was mainly intended to render terrorist suspects to the United States for trial, since the "War on Terror" it seems to be aiming more and more to deny detainees access to American courts. New Directives implemented under the Bush administration remain classified, but are said to give the CIA and the other 15 members of the American "intelligence community" the power to capture and hold terrorist suspects. Secret detention is the corollary of a secret rendition programme. (…) Rendition provides the means to transport them to the CIA-run system of covert prisons that has reportedly operated at various times in at least eight countries.Amnesty describes some cases of rendition, secret detention and "disappearance" in detail, including German national Muhammad Zammar's, about which Amnesty says: The secret arrest and subsequent "disappearance" of Muhammad Zammar has all the hallmarks of a case in which an individual has been rendered for the purposes of interrogation under torture. Zammar's family in Germany has received one letter from him dated 8 June 2005. His current whereabouts are unknown. According to the Amnesty-report, intelligence information supplied by Germany is thought to have been instrumental in his arrest in Morocco and rendition to Syria.Deutsche Welle opines that the CIA controversy is becoming a sharper thorn in transatlantic relations: European leaders were initially slow to react to allegations of secret flights carrying suspected terrorists landing on their soil after reports of them first leaked in November. Experts say that is because European governments were more informed than they wanted to admit. But since EU Commission officials first downplayed the issue late last year, the Council of Europe, a human rights watchdog, has continued to investigate. At the same time, countries such as Germany and Italy are probing the issue -- the Bundestag will hold more hearings this week to find out what German officials knew. Most officials say it is unlikely that European governments were kept in the dark. Meanwhile, an EU parliamentary committee issued a report last month saying that the CIA carried out as many as 1,000 secret flights in the past five years, transporting suspected terrorists to third countries.
Permalink -
Comments (0)
Defined tags for this entry: Civil Liberties, European Union, germany, Moral Values, Rule of Law, Terrorism
« previous page
(Page 4 of 6, totaling 69 entries)
next page »
|
SponsorTips From Our Readers
The above links on transatlantic issues have been recommended by trusted readers. More information about this web 2.0 project ;-)
BlogrollGoogle the SiteSUPPORT THIS SITEHot TopicsClick on one of the following links to see all Atlantic Review posts about this topic in a chronological order with the latest post on top:
Afghanistan Anti-Americanism Economics Iran Iraq Merkel Polls Terrorism Click here for the full list of all topics. Read posts from specific Atlantic Review authors |
Home - About Us - Newsletter - Transatlantic Relations - US Foreign Policy - Various RSS Feeds Designed for Atlantic Review by Carl.

Latest Comments
How do you know that people don't also dispise the Turkish government as well? Even [...]
Marie Claude about "Obama Effect": increased diversity in global politics?
bizarre bizarre my posts got into the spam box, uh is it cause of the links, funny [...]
Pat Patterson about "Obama Effect": increased diversity in global politics?
Still on a per capita basis the Jewish population of Germany appears to have declined [...]
quo vadis about Turkey is the most anti-American country
Results like these only reinforce my position that world opinion regarding the US is, [...]
John in Michigan, USA about "Obama Effect": increased diversity in global politics?
Joe, I enjoyed your series [...]
John in Michigan, USA about "Obama Effect": increased diversity in global politics?
'um, this freedom of speech is "killing" your democraty' Yes, our democracy is so [...]