What I found very interesting was that among all the gloomy scenarios, one analyst from IFRI in Paris suggested that the regional conflagration could benefit the West: "low-level protracted warfare between the Saudis (also Al Qaida) and the Iranians through local proxies would tie them and wear them down, perhaps to the point where most of their respective energies would be focused on Iraq."Another analysts cut a long story short: "With a weakened United States, geopolitical vacations for Europe should be over."
European analysts believe that American withdrawal from Iraq would spell disaster. Increased refugee flows, regional instability, cross-border violence, higher oil prices, terrorism within Europe, and increased American isolationism were the main predictions noted by 14 European policy analysts. I have interviewed them for the third part of the Atlantic Community survey on Iraq.