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Contrasting Perceptions and Failing to Win Hearts and MindsPosted by Joerg Wolf in Transatlantic Relations on Saturday, July 1. 2006 Having read the coverage of the EU-US summit in several U.S. and German papers, I got the impression that the German papers focus on the lack of concrete results, while pointing out that President Bush wants to close Gitmo, is more supportive of EU policies on Israel/Palestine, Iran, and on the environment. The U.S. papers, however, focused on the dialogue between President Bush and the European press. According to the Voice of America, one journalist asked President Bush the inaccurate question why Europeans perceive America to be the greatest threat to global stability. And Raimund Loew, of Austrian Radio and TV, added: "So my question to you is, why do you think you have failed so badly to convince Europeans to win their hearts and minds?" President Bush responded: Look, people didn't agree with my decision on Iraq. And I understand that. For Europe, September the 11th was a moment; for us it was a change of thinking.I see an irony here, but it is just my personal analysis: I believe President Bush not only explained why he is so unpopular in Europe, but he also reinforced his unpopularity. President Bush did not seize this chance to win hearts and minds in Europe, but actually lost a few more hearts and minds because of the way he responded. Please, let me explain why and also elaborate on the poll and the press coverage of the summit and the German troops in Afghanistan: 1. President Bush's response gives the impression that all Europeans were against the Iraq war. He fails to acknowledge that Britain, Italy, Spain, and other European countries did send troops to Iraq. 2. As so often, President Bush puts only six words between "Iraq" and "September the 11th," although Iraq had nothing to do with September 11. Sometimes that makes sense, but most Europeans don't like the Bush administration's repeated Iraq-9/11 references and believe that those references explain why "a large majority of Bush supporters believes that Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda and that clear evidence of this support has been found." (This 2004 poll is discussed here.) Therefore President Bush isn't winning, but losing hearts and minds in Europe with short talking point references to Iraq-9/11. Yes, 9/11 required a reassesment of the threat of WMD and the necessity to support democratization. Indeed the terrorist attacks caused a "change of thinking" not only for Americans (as the president claims), but also for Europeans. Besides, many Americans, who changed their thinking after 9/11, did not agree with the decision to attack Iraq and start democratization of the Middle East with tanks in Iraq, because 9/11 was caused by a multi-national, but mainly Saudi religious fundamentalist terrorist group rather than secular Iraq. Why not bring democracy to another Arab country first? Democratization of Egypt would have sent shockwaves throughout the Arab world. 3. This is the second time within weeks that President Bush described 9/11 as just a moment for Europeans. In May he told German TV that for non-Americans September 11th "was just a moment in passing", which I consider unfair, a bit offensive and totally inaccurate. Just two of the many reasons: a) According to the State Department: "An estimated 2,830 people died or are missing in the aftermath of the attack on the World Trade Center. (...) One in six — 494 — are reportedly either foreigners or Americans with dual citizenship, hailing from more than 90 countries. " b) Because of September 11, thousands of German soldiers have risked their lives in Afghanistan every single day for the past four years. Deutsche Welle reports that on Tuesday: Perhaps President Bush could tell the relatives of those 18 German soldiers and the relatives of other European soldiers killed in Afghanistan that September 11 was just "a moment" for Europeans. Moreover, we need to take a closer look at the poll that is quoted in the US and European media as saying that Europeans consider the US the greatest threat. The respected Pew Global Attitudes Project summarizes its poll and created the table:Majorities in 10 of 14 foreign countries surveyed say that the war in Iraq has made the world a more dangerous place. In Great Britain, America's most important ally in Iraq, 60% say the war has made the world more dangerous, while just half that number (30%) feel it has made the world safer. Moreover, even as concerns about Iran have increased, somewhat more Britons believe that the U.S. military presence in Iraq represents a great danger to stability in the Middle East and world peace than say that about the current government in Iran (by 41%-34%). In Spain, fully 56% say the U.S. military presence in Iraq is a great danger to the stability of the Middle East and world peace; just 38% regard the current government in Iran in the same way. Among America's traditional allies, Germany is the only country where more people say Iran is a great danger than offer the same view of the U.S. military presence in Iraq (by 51%-40%). " Back to the EU-US Summit in Vienna: Mike Allen writes for Time Magazine: "In Europe, Bush avoids looking defensive and wins a ringing endorsement by at least one foreign leader" Mark Silva wrote good elaborate piece for the Chicago Tribune: President Bush, eager to counter the perceived threats of Iran and North Korea, instead found himself Wednesday passionately defending the United States against suggestions that the U.S. threatens world security with its own foreign policies.Ames Gerstenzang from the LA Times writes in the Houston Chronicle: President Bush responded angrily Wednesday to differences with Europe over the war in Iraq and the treatment of prisoners at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. With public opinion surveys showing a growing animosity in Europe toward the United States amid fears that its anti-terrorism policies and the Iraq war are endangering global stability, the president raised his voice during a news conference and several times used the words "absurd" and "absurdity" to describe the criticism.Contrast the above US reports about the US-EU summit with this typical European report from EU Observer, whose headline is "Warm words but wishy-washy results at EU-US summit": Standing side by side with US president George W. Bush after a bilateral summit, EU leaders toned down their rhetoric on controversial issues highlighted before the meeting, despite not having any concrete commitments from Washington on visas, trade talks or climate change.More coverage at the Eccentric Star Public Diplomacy Blog Dr. Jackson Janes, executive director of the American Institute of Contemporary German Studies wrote about "Facing a Fragile Consensus": The summit declaration addressed the many issues on the transatlantic agenda and expressed many good intentions to deal with them. Negotiating jointly with Iran was given a prominent slot as an indication of how far cooperation between Washington and Europe has progressed since the meltdown over Iraq. Yet at the press conference following the summit, President Bush was confronted with the continuing criticism directed at Guantanamo and the sagging image of the United States in Europe, where recent polls indicated that a third of Europeans see the United States as a bigger threat to world stability than Iran. Declaring such findings to be absurd, he dismissed polls as the gyroscope for his policies by arguing that he will do his best "to explain our foreign policy," and Austrian Chancellor Schüssel reminded everyone how important the United States was to the recovery of Europe after World War II. Endnote: President Bush said at the EU-U.S. Summit that he would like to close Guantanamo, but "I'm waiting for the Supreme Court of the United States to determine the proper venue in which these people can be tried." Yesterday the NYT writes that the Supreme Court made a decision: The Supreme Court on Thursday repudiated the Bush administration's plan to put Guantánamo detainees on trial before military commissions, ruling broadly that the commissions were unauthorized by federal statute and violated international law. To pre-empt some of the comments I am likely to receive: Yes, Europeans are responsible for many communication failures as well. Yes, there are plenty of other reasons why President Bush is unpopular in Europe. Yes, President Bush has expressed his appreciation of the European contributions to ISAF, Enduring Freedom, and Iraq many times. The Atlantic Review is supposed to just summarize press articles and we try to focus on just doing that, but sometimes I feel I need to add some personal opinions. Please suggest a new headline for this post that better describes the transatlantic disagreements, different perceptions, different assessments of threats, and the communication failures summarized in this post. What headline describes best the relationship between Bush administration and Europe? I know those are difficult questions. If you got an idea, I would appreciate it.
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Tom P
- #1 - 2006-06-30 15:30 - (Reply)
I wonder what's your expectations are here. There is a rabid minority in the US who are in default opposition to Bush regardless of what he says or does. He serves as a convenient antithesis to whatever cause or ideology they hold. Is it his fault that Bush has been unable to win the hearts and minds of his own countrymen? Knowing a few myself, it would be an exercise in futility for him to try.
David
- #1.1 - 2006-06-30 15:55 - (Reply)
"rabid minority"
Jabba the Tutt
- #1.1.1 - 2006-07-02 18:46 - (Reply)
I'm not aware of any credible poll that puts more than 35% of Americans with a favorable view of Bush.
Joerg
- #1.2 - 2006-06-30 16:11 - (Reply)
"The real questions is whether the European press really want to find themselves liking Bush"
Charles
- #1.3 - 2006-07-01 16:22 - (Reply)
Hey, Tom, where have you been for the past two years? You are now part of the "rabid minority"--the stubborn halfwits that still support Bush!
Don
- #2 - 2006-07-01 02:49 - (Reply)
Joerg, that main post (and your comment below) are so sweeping (and dare I say a little purblind?) it's really hard to know where to start.
Joerg
- #2.1 - 2006-07-01 12:16 - (Reply)
Thanks for pointing out that Europeans have lost the hearts and minds in the US as well.
Quo Vaids
- #2.1.1 - 2006-07-02 11:22 - (Reply)
I believe that the point Bush is making with his "moment" comment is that for many Americans, myself included, 9-11 brought about an abrupt change in thinking from the realpolitik that had dominated American foreign policy since the days of Henry Kissinger and with all it's attendant ethical compromises and uncomfortable alliances. For Americans, the status quo is no longer acceptable. I haven't seen any evidence from Europe of a similar change in thinking.
Joerg
- #2.1.1.1 - 2006-07-02 11:44 - (Reply)
Thank you for your comment!
Anonymous
- #2.1.1.1.1 - 2006-07-02 12:45 - (Reply)
US policy toward Saudi Arabia and Egypt has changed to the extent that it can given the failure of the Iraq adventure, which is not much. The cost of alienating those few cooperating governments in the region is higher now than it has ever been and there is much more at stake.
Quo Vadis
- #2.1.1.1.1.1 - 2006-07-02 12:49 - (Reply)
The previous anonymous comment was mine. I neglected to enter my name.
Quo Vadis
- #2.1.1.1.2 - 2006-07-02 13:26 - (Reply)
Many Americans see the US involvement in Afghanistan and Iraq as the start of a (now probably doomed) attempt to affect a transformation of the entire region from one dominated by totalitarian regimes to one governed by democracies. That is a way of thinking about the role of the US in the world that has been lost since the time of generation of Americans we now call "The Greatest Generation".
Joerg
- #2.1.1.1.2.1 - 2006-07-02 22:15 - (Reply)
Good question. I think most Germans consider it more than "just" policing, but we definitely did not expect a transformation of the entire region. We were less optimistic about the ISAF mission in Afghanistan than most Americans were about the Iraq war, i.e. a cakewalk to bring democracy to the entire Middle East lasting less than six months, Iraq being able pay for ist own reconstruction etc. That's why most Germans are not as disappointed as most Americans are right now, I believe.
Quo Vadis
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1 - 2006-07-03 02:01 - (Reply)
Let me clarify my position on the war in Iraq. I believe that it was intended to be part of a larger program that could have succeeded had it been better executed. Perhaps the most important failure was the failure to rally support internationally; moral support more than material support. While I place the blame for this failure squarely on the shoulders of the Bush administration, some of our most important friends in Europe were and continue to be anything but helpful.
Joerg
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1 - 2006-07-03 09:42 - (Reply)
I hear you!
Anonymous
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.1 - 2006-07-03 11:16 - (Reply)
The Atlantic Review post about US-Saudi relations:
Quo Vadis
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.1.1 - 2006-07-04 05:54 - (Reply)
This is a nice theory, but it is incomplete at best. The power to control a resource for which there is a global demand brings independence. The Saudis and other large oil producers can and do simply ignore us.
Anonymous
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2006-07-04 08:37 - (Reply)
The Saudis depend on the US for its security.
Quo Vadis
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.2 - 2006-07-04 03:44 - (Reply)
If the change is going to happen in these countries, it’s going to have to come from within or it’s going to have to be imposed by force from without. The regimes in the region aren’t stupid; they’re going to make it as difficult as possible for anyone to unseat them and they have a lot of weapons to use beyond the price of oil.
Joerg
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.2.1 - 2006-07-04 08:39 - (Reply)
> have to be
Anonymous
- #2.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.2.2 - 2006-07-04 10:06 - (Reply)
Primarily because of Iraq:
Joerg
- #2.2 - 2006-07-01 12:42 - (Reply)
Do liberal Americans respect Germany more since our opposition to the Iraq war?
David
- #2.2.1 - 2006-07-01 17:15 - (Reply)
Why should Bush care about winning the hearts and minds of Europeans when he has used the "War on Terror" to pit Americans against each other? The candidate who declared himself "a uniter not a divider" turned out to be the most divisive president in recent history.
Anonymous
- #2.2.1.1 - 2006-07-01 17:38 - (Reply)
Because he needs European support for his policies.
GM
- #2.2.1.2 - 2006-07-01 23:07 - (Reply)
Actually David, the low number has more to do with the conduct of the war, not opposing the war in and of itself.
David
- #2.2.1.2.1 - 2006-07-02 01:52 - (Reply)
Gallup poll from this week:
Clarence
- #3 - 2006-07-01 14:46 - (Reply)
Don: Bravo.
Joerg
- #3.1 - 2006-07-01 15:26 - (Reply)
Why do you reduce Germany to two former government members?
Joerg
- #3.2 - 2006-07-01 15:32 - (Reply)
I wonder what news sources you are reading to be so obsessed with Fischer and Schroeder.
Clarence
- #4 - 2006-07-01 16:00 - (Reply)
Joerg,
Joerg
- #4.1 - 2006-07-01 16:51 - (Reply)
Thanks for the answers.
Clarence
- #5 - 2006-07-01 17:20 - (Reply)
In your order:
Don
- #6 - 2006-07-02 00:22 - (Reply)
"You are right that Germany lost many hearts and minds in the US in 2002 and 2003. What should Germany do to win hearts and minds again?"
Ralf Goergens
- #6.1 - 2006-07-02 22:01 - (Reply)
Don:
Anonymous
- #6.1.1 - 2006-07-12 22:32 - (Reply)
Ralf,
Ralf Goergens
- #6.1.1.1 - 2006-07-13 21:52 - (Reply)
Anonymous (or is it Don?)
Don
- #6.1.1.1.1 - 2006-07-14 01:40 - (Reply)
Yes that was me above, Ralf.
Possum - At the Zoo
- #7 - 2006-07-02 18:08 - (Reply)
Joerg, you fail to mention that President Bush's initial response to the allegation that America is the greatest threat to world security was "That's absurd!"
Rosemary
- #8 - 2006-07-02 20:11 - (Reply)
God bless your 18 Soldiers and their families and loved ones. I pray that God will comfort them and ease their pain. Thank you for their courageous service.
Pato
- #9 - 2006-07-03 02:45 - (Reply)
Bush would have been wise if he had asked the german press why it is that the country of germany hosted, clothed, fed, suckled, and educated those who killed 3000 americans.
Anonymous
- #9.1 - 2006-07-03 18:44 - (Reply)
Why is it that the United States gave visas to the four guys who flew the planes?
Anonymous
- #9.1.1 - 2006-07-03 18:55 - (Reply)
Under US visa laws everybody who has no reason to return home (broke, unemployed, unmarried) is considered an immigrant and has to make a case why he won't stay in the US and work at 7-Eleven.
Possum - At the Zoo
- #10 - 2006-07-03 02:59 - (Reply)
Joerg,
Assistant Village Idiot
- #11 - 2006-07-03 06:42 - (Reply)
Thank you for your attempt at balanced discussion and actual listening. I will do what I can to add to the civility.
Joerg
- #11.1 - 2006-07-03 10:12 - (Reply)
Thank you for your outstanding comment!
ADMIN
- #12 - 2006-07-03 10:19 - (Reply)
Please note that by default the comments in this blog are threaded rather than linear, i.e. the latest comments are not necessarily at the bottom, but could be also in the middle.
ADMIN
- #12.1 - 2006-07-03 10:23 - (Reply)
My comment should not discourage you from continuing this conversation, which seems to be getting more interesting.
Pinkerton
- #13 - 2006-07-03 15:03 - (Reply)
Tom P
Alexander
- #14 - 2006-07-03 20:12 - (Reply)
Americans are losing their British friends as well:
wc
- #14.1 - 2006-07-04 14:03 - (Reply)
"Most Britons see America as a cruel, vulgar, arrogant society, riven by class and racism, crime-ridden, obsessed with money and led by an incompetent hypocrite."
Assistant Village Idiot
- #15 - 2006-07-04 00:08 - (Reply)
Pinkerton hits the problem squarely. He believes the legacy media, calling it the REAL news, in spite of its numerous recent examples of egregious error. Additionally, he thinks a childish insult such as Faux for Fox terribly witty, and needs to identify his opponents as "rabid." As long as such people are given credibility in the national discussion, I fear there will be no national discussion. Hint: asserting something more emphatically doesn't make it truer.
Joerg
- #15.1 - 2006-07-04 00:27 - (Reply)
Pinkerton was addressing and referring to the very first comment in this thread by Tom P, who wrote: "There is a rabid minority in the US who are in default opposition to Bush regardless of what he says or does."
Assistant Village Idiot
- #16 - 2006-07-04 00:58 - (Reply)
Everyblog has shortened me to AVI. I rather like it now.
David
- #16.1 - 2006-07-04 14:54 - (Reply)
"now that we know there were WMD"
sookietex
- #17 - 2006-07-04 01:04 - (Reply)
As you were so kind to quote our President, i will let Chancellor Schüssel answer sans charts, polls, opinions of famous media outlets et al,
Woody
- #18 - 2006-07-04 02:52 - (Reply)
No disrespect intended, honestly, but I started reading this post, scanned the comments, and figured that I had seen enough. I don't care if Europe likes the U.S. Do they care that many of us don't like them? Talk about that.
Assistant Village Idiot
- #19 - 2006-07-04 02:54 - (Reply)
Woody's usually more polite than that. Hey Woody! I've been commenting over here, okay?
Woody
- #19.1 - 2006-07-04 03:12 - (Reply)
AVI, I very sincerely wasn't trying to impolite. So, I really am sorry if I came across as a troll or argumentative. But, sometimes it's like arguing with your teenage kids. At some point, enough is enough. Now, can we send Europe to its room to think about what it said?
Woody
- #19.2 - 2006-07-04 03:26 - (Reply)
AVI, a couple items of interest and maybe to the others:
Joerg
- #19.2.1 - 2006-07-04 08:16 - (Reply)
"What's So Great About America?"
Woody
- #19.2.1.1 - 2006-07-05 20:33 - (Reply)
Joerg, I only speak for myself, but I've given up on Europe being serious about helping us to achieve our goals.
wc
- #20 - 2006-07-04 08:43 - (Reply)
Fact is, the Europeans flatter themselves by thinking that anybody wants to win their hearts and minds. Who cares what the Europeans think? Only the Libs in the USA seem to want the approval of the Libs in Europe. Europeans have shown their true colors. (Euros even eat their own if they do not toe the Lib line, i.e. Tony Blair) If we agree on some things fine, if we don't agree, who cares? Maybe it is time to write off the European friendship. There are too many differences that will never be overcome. This is a friendship that can unfortunately no longer exist.
Doubting Tom
- #21 - 2006-07-04 14:06 - (Reply)
Lately I have been wondering about Iran and it's enrichment program.
joe
- #22 - 2006-07-04 17:56 - (Reply)
One has to assume then the goals of Europe are different than the goals of the US.
E. Nonee Moose
- #23 - 2006-07-05 02:31 - (Reply)
"A country that attempted to be in everybody’s good books would be quite paralyzed. The last time everybody said they liked the United States (or said that they said they liked the United States) was just after Sept. 11, when the nation was panicked and traumatized and trying to count its dead. Well, no thanks. This is too high a price to be paid for being popular. . . .I would suggest less masochism, more confidence on the American street, and less nervous reliance on paper majorities discovered by paper organizations."
Anonymous
- #23.1 - 2006-07-05 02:56 - (Reply)
Do you think the US can achieve all its foreign policy goals alone or do you need allies, who at least support some of your policies?
James
- #24 - 2006-07-05 09:04 - (Reply)
You are patently wrong to say that Iraq had no relation to 9-11. This is a mantra repeated often, but is wholly false because Saddam and al-Qaeda were joined in the jihad against America. Saddam's henchmen were at work in the first WTC attack in 1993, well documented in the work by Laurie Mylroie "Attack Against America", with more documentation on their connections to the 9-11 attacks as well. Also, the book "The Connection" by Stephen Hayes provides much detail on the long-term cooperation between Saddam and Osama Bin Ladin and other Talibans. They were both up to their eyeballs in planning and carrying out the attacks. Other lesser-documented attacks included the Iraqi involvement with Tim McVeigh as the "Third Terrorist" in the OK City bombing of the Federal Building, and possibly also the TWA-800 explosion. There have been repeated attacks against American embassies, soldiers, ships, aircraft, and civilian targets, starting well before 9-11, and various Muslim terror groups and Islamic states were behind all of them. This history has been systematically and deliberately suppressed by those who hold leftist pro-Muslim views, who want to blame all the world's problems on the "Great Satan" USA, or the "Little Satan" Israel. The rhetoric of the International Left is therefore not different from the Islamo-fascists, and the failure to address and accept this large body of evidence about Iraq only plays into the hands of those who would sell out American and European freedoms for the empty promises of the new fascists.
Joerg
- #24.1 - 2006-07-05 09:12 - (Reply)
If those claims were credible, why does not the 9/11 commission acknwoledge that?
James
- #24.1.1 - 2006-07-09 00:21 - (Reply) To Joerg and Possum, |



