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A Republican US-President would be in Germany's Interest

No, that's not my opinion, but a conclusion one could draw from Thomas Wright's Financial Times article "Europe's vote should go to a Republican president". Wright expressed his displeasure with the headline on Twitter, but journalists and bloggers look for a provocative angle... FT has now changed it to "Why the Tea Party is in the European mainstream" Brookings, were he works as a fellow, chose the same headline.

Okay, so what is Wright's argument: "On the major international issues of the day, Europe's most powerful leaders are now aligned with the Republicans."

He starts with the global economic crisis and points out: "Angela Merkel is even insisting that all members of the eurozone introduce a constitutional balanced budget amendment - something that is seen as a far-fetched Tea Party idea in the US but is now mainstream in Europe."

Even regarding foreign policy, Europeans could welcome a Republican president, because he:

Mr Obama has sought to pivot to Asia and put more of the burden on European allies to solve problems in their own neighbourhood. This was the essence of the "leading from behind" comment by an anonymous White House adviser. European governments want to cut their defence budgets further and would prefer the US to continue to provide for European security, allowing them to be free-riders. Mr Romney equates burden-sharing with an abdication of leadership, opposes reducing America's footprint anywhere and promises to reverse Mr Obama's defence cuts.

Hm, I am not sure, if any of the Republican front runners will ever introduce a balanced budget, especially if they are committed to global military "leadership". If Romney sends troops back to Iraq and Afghanistan or starts a war with Iran, this costs a whole lot of money. Europeans tend to will feel less (not more) safe, when US presidents start wars. Most West-Europeans do not any longer have the impression that the US "continues to provide for European security."

Yes, Obama wants European allies to solve problems in their own neighborhood. Nobody in Germany is complaining that we have a much larger share of troops in Kosovo than the US has:

I think a Republican president would consider the Balkans part of Europe's neighborhood and refuse to send troops, if tensions turn into conflict again.


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