Posted by Kyle Atwell in
Transatlantic Relations on Tuesday, January 13. 2009
It is time for Obama to bring his change campaign to NATO, writes James Jay Carafano of the Heritage Foundation in Washington Times. Carafano argues Obama should use NATO's 60th anniversary to launch a new vision for the military alliance, which he refers to as NATO 2.0. Specifically NATO needs to take action on five major issues: 1. Identify common threats; 2. Reaffirm NATO's commitment to an open-door policy that does not give Russia veto-power; 3. Establish a more flexible decision-making process; 4. Clearly identify roles between EU and NATO, with NATO doing military and EU doing more of the constabulary non-military “soft power” missions that it excels at; 5. Develop new burden-sharing rules.
All of these are important issues that should be considered; in fact, most are already being debated within the Alliance. However, each of them will also face an uphill battle in the reform process.
Consider proposition five, developing new burden-sharing rules. Carafano argues that a country should lose voting powers if it fails to match the two-percent defense spending requirement set by NATO. At this time, only five European countries meet this requirement, three of those with declining defense budgets, according to 2007 numbers released by NATO (pdf).
Carafano's plan for a "more flexible decision making process" will mean that a country's influence in the decision making process of an operation should be tied to its contribution. Specifically, he argues:
Currently, nothing gets done unless everyone agrees. Group decisions should not require unanimity. States should be able to pursue allied missions under the NATO flag even if some members don't participate. Moreover, only those countries that substantially contribute to a mission (with troops and other resources) should be involved in the planning and execution.
Up front this seems a great incentive for countries to be more proactive in the organization, and also means the organization could cut down on bureacratic sloth. It certainly warrants consideration.
However, policy-makers need beware that tying voting rights to operational contributions or defense spending, and any other policy that detracts from an Ally's voting rights threaten a core tenet of NATO: it is an alliance based on consensus. Once you remove that consensus, smaller states will be walked on, neglected, and ultimately may lose confidence in the Alliance. The beautiful thing about NATO is exactly that each Ally has a say at the table - even the smallest member has a voice. Any reform proposal will need to take this into consideration. NATO's perrenial burden-sharing problem is not likely to get any easier in the coming years, particularly as European Allies face an economic crisis. Supreme Allied Commander General Craddock made exactly this argument last week, Deutsche Welle reports: The economic crisis raises the risk that European allies will pull back from Afghanistan at a time when president-elect Barack Obama is expected to reach out to them for help, NATO's supreme commander warned Friday. At the same time, General Bantz Craddock predicted that US forces will be in Afghanistan for "at least" a decade, and likely have a presence there for decades to come. [snip] Craddock said that, although European allies were expecting Obama to ask them to do more, "I think it's going to be harder for them to do it because of decreasing defense budgets."
[snip] "Absent this financial crisis, still we're challenged. With this financial crisis, we're challenged ever more greatly," he said. Another issue already making the headlines regularly is NATO's "open-door" policy. The Alliance was divided in 2008 whether to move forward with membership for Georgia and Ukraine, particularly after the Russia-Georgia war in August. The United States had been in favor of moving Georgia closer toward membership by granting it a Membership Action Plan, but was unable to secure unanimity among the Allies. Last week the US and Georgia settled for a dyadic Strategic Partnership Pact, Reuters reports:
"This is the stepping stone which will bring Georgia to Euro-Atlantic structures, to membership within NATO, and to return to the family of Western and civilized nations," said Georgian Foreign Minister Grigol Vashadze.
[snip]
Under the charter, Georgia would get U.S. help in modernizing its military through training and equipment, postwar reconstruction assistance, support for financial and economic reforms, and expanded access to the U.S. market for Georgian goods.
It is not hard to imagine that from the Georgian perspective this is great, but short-change compared to the Alliance-wide sanctified MAP that it did not receive.
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