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Thursday, November 13. 2008Obama and Missile DefensePosted by Kyle Atwell in US Foreign Policy on Thursday, November 13. 2008
A week after declaring his intentions to position Iskander tactical missiles in Kaliningrad region in response to US missile defense plans for Europe, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev lays out his terms (Reuters):
But we are ready to abandon this decision to deploy the missiles in Kaliningrad if the new American administration, after analyzing the real usefulness of a system to respond to 'rogue states', decides to abandon its anti-missile system.Obama can expect pull in the other direction by the US Missile Defense Agency, whose outgoing Director Lt. Gen. Trey Obering argues missile defense technology may be farther along than the President-Elect believes (CNNPolitics.com): Our testing has shown not only can we hit a bullet with a bullet, we can hit a spot on the bullet with a bullet. The technology has caught up. What we have discovered is, a lot of those folks that have not been in this administration seem to be dated in terms of the program. They are kind of calibrated back in the 2000 timeframe.Jeff Lindemyer links to two articles that offer a view of what Obama’s stance on missile defense was during the campaign at Nukes of Hazard. See also from Atlantic Review: * Is Russia a Superpower? Cold War II? * United States and Poland Agree on Missile Defense Deal * Georgia Conflict Gives Boost to European Missile Defense Talks
Comments (37)
Defined tags for this entry: Defense, Military, Missile Defense, Nukes, Obama, Proliferation, Russia, Strategy
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Don S
- #1 - 2008-11-13 19:00 - (Reply)
Obama's problems have begun two months before he takes the oath of office. Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #1.1 - 2008-11-14 01:02 - (Reply)
That'll work for now, but if the Russians do jam the radar once it becomes operational, ignoring it won't be an option. Comments ()
Don S
- #1.1.1 - 2008-11-14 11:51 - (Reply)
Kevin, I had not heard about this possibility. Has this been threatened, and would it be easy to do? Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-14 14:13 - (Reply)
Yes, Medvedev announced that equipment to jam the radar would also be deployed to Kalinengrad at the same press conference he announced deployment of the missiles. As to it's feasibility, I don't really know. As I understand it the radar will look south, not east, and phased-array radars have almost no side lobes to get into. Still, I wouldn't bet the farm. Comments ()
Joe Noory
- #1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-15 16:56 - (Reply)
It may not matter. The US has an early warning satellite array. Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-15 17:10 - (Reply)
They rely on IR sensors. Of no use for missile guidance. Comments ()
John in Michigan, USA
- #1.1.2 - 2008-11-15 20:10 - (Reply)
Kevin makes an interesting point about Russian jamming. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #1.1.2.1 - 2008-11-15 20:33 - (Reply)
um, seems that the money crisis is doing well for burrying the war hatchet, bye bye missiles projections for both sides, not yet finalised but on the way, Im expecting some difficulties with the tchec presidency, how can that be possible that this small country can lead the EU when she even doesn't have the euros ? Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #1.1.2.2 - 2008-11-16 02:31 - (Reply)
‘Our radars have gotten really, really smart at avoiding jamming. Also it would be hard to sustain jamming for any amount of time; our (non-nuclear) "anti-radiation" missiles are really good at hunting down and destroying sources of radar waves.’ Comments ()
John in Michigan, USA
- #1.1.2.2.1 - 2008-11-16 09:19 - (Reply)
"do we want to be in the position of having to attack Russia in order to defend ourselves from an Iranian launch?" Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #2 - 2008-11-13 23:16 - (Reply)
the battle for pentagon head is on, also determining for the next policy Comments ()
Joe N.
- #2.1 - 2008-11-14 19:21 - (Reply)
Having heard a long, droning criticism number 2743 of GWB the other day on German TV, it alluded ignorantly to the "hostility" of the president being the commander-in-chief, as if Bush was the only president ever who was called the commander in chief. The opinionated bufoon went on-and-on in complete ignorance of the significance of making a civilian elected leader of the military, and not a Gemeral, or as you seem to have had implied to you, the Secretary of Defense. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #2.1.1 - 2008-11-15 20:14 - (Reply)
WTF, france 2 has to do here ? Comments ()
Joe Noory
- #3 - 2008-11-14 13:14 - (Reply)
The question is almost a moot one. Medvedyev's previous handling of the EU in discussions over Georgia indicate suspicion at his capacity to act in good faith. Worse still, any intransigence that will occur with any such deal will have little to do with the actions of the US, but rather with domestic Russian politicking. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4 - 2008-11-14 17:01 - (Reply)
uh, at lest our georgian fellow still have his balls, thanks to Sarkozy :lol: Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #4.1 - 2008-11-15 17:13 - (Reply)
Yes, but Sarko still can’t resist the need to snivel and whine about a lack of ‘American leadership’. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4.1.1 - 2008-11-15 20:20 - (Reply)
hehe, Sarko is a chess player, one pawn is advanced, another pawn follows, apparently that left Putin checkmate on that was supposed to be a "rude" ol russian joke Comments ()
Joe N.
- #4.1.1.1 - 2008-11-17 15:15 - (Reply)
Sarko is not a chess player - he is a free-rider. Every utterance about the American relationship, international policy, even the bank crisis is an attempt to exert maximum leverage at no cost. It isn't productive or helpful, it does not contribute to the imaginary wonders of "peace and social justice" or any other silly fashion. It is an attempt to keep ones' face in print for his own voters, not the larger world. Comments ()
Marie-Claude
- #4.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-17 16:22 - (Reply)
OK, Sarko doesn't play chess on a geopolitical agenda, but in discussion points, yes ! or may be more in poker game, and was quite successful, his former profession :Advocat. Comments ()
Joe N.
- #4.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-17 18:34 - (Reply)
You might as well ask: "how many people in France support Sarko?" You can try to undermine anything by asking anyone with a mere majority of votes the same thing. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-17 19:34 - (Reply)
how many... at least the 54 % who voted for him, and many more if you consider that several socialist personnalities opted for his government LMAO Comments ()
Joe N.
- #4.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-19 23:18 - (Reply)
We NEVER suggeest anything of the sort. DO not LIE to me about what we said about it. What we observed, plain as day, was a kind of public affection in France particularly for the idea of kicking the Georgians when they were under attack because these very same people could infer somehow that supporting Russia is some kind of blow to the United States. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-20 01:32 - (Reply)
yeah, in your Bible are the "objective truths LMAO Comments ()
jpg
- #4.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-11-20 13:57 - (Reply)
There is those who have a good knowledge of the questions which they discuss and then there is Joe N. whose only sources of information are weak websites as "no pasaran" or " fuck France ". His personal culture does not have to exceed the level of "Mickey's newspaper". Comments ()
John in Michigan, USA
- #4.1.1.1.1.2 - 2008-11-18 11:46 - (Reply)
The more I learn about Sarko, the more a like him. If only he wasn't stuck implementing French (and EU) foreign policy... Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4.1.1.1.1.2.1 - 2008-11-18 15:08 - (Reply)
about your wiki links, watch the "history", so many revisions :lol: Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4.1.1.1.1.2.1.1 - 2008-11-19 18:23 - (Reply)
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/johann-hari/johann-hari-obamas-chance-to-end-the--fantasy-that-is-star-wars-1015509.html Comments ()
John in Michigan, USA
- #4.1.1.1.1.2.1.1.1 - 2008-11-20 06:43 - (Reply)
Hari says it is impossible, how does he know? Comments ()
John in Michigan, USA
- #4.1.1.1.1.2.1.2 - 2008-11-20 06:31 - (Reply)
Marie-Claude, Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #4.1.1.1.1.2.2 - 2008-11-18 15:10 - (Reply)
as I put a few links, my comment needs approval :lol: Comments ()
Don S
- #4.2 - 2008-11-15 19:00 - (Reply)
Putin may have threatened the family jewels, but based upon past behavior one might conclude that *some* unknown person might use ricin, a radioactive isotope, or perhaps another poison causing a disease instead to the poor Georgian. Comments ()
Marie Claude
- #5 - 2008-11-15 19:23 - (Reply)
um, O has been lectured about a possible terrorist attack, Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #6 - 2009-01-28 16:11 - (Reply)
Russia's military has announced it will halt its plans to deploy short-range missiles in its Baltic enclave Kaliningrad, Interfax news agency says. Comments ()
John in Michigan, USA
- #6.1 - 2009-01-28 17:07 - (Reply)
Nice follow-up. Comments ()
Zyme
- #6.1.1 - 2009-01-28 23:48 - (Reply)
My first thought was that this increases pressure on Washington not to pursue the plan for a missile defense in Eastern Europe. Central Europe will now probably point at this Russian gesture and expect America to follow. Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #6.1.1.1 - 2009-01-29 01:28 - (Reply)
Maybe. Obama would probably cancel the thing anyway if left to himself. If the Russians start screwing with him he may decide he has to deploy it to avoid appearing any weaker than he already does. Comments ()
Kevin Sampson
- #6.1.2 - 2009-01-29 01:16 - (Reply)
'Or, it may turn out that Russia missiles aren't in as good condition as they used to be.' Comments ()
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