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Germany's Christian Democrats are Pulled LeftPosted by Editors in Transatlantic Relations on Monday, May 26. 2008 David Vickrey, editor of Dialog International, wrote this guest blog post:
But 2005 now seems like long ago, and Angela Merkel has turned out to be something of a disappointment to American conservatives. Sure, there is still a strong personal affinity between her and the US president: Merkel, unlike Gerhard Schröder, was welcomed at the Bush home in Crawford, Texas. On the other hand, the chancellor has not used her office to support the Bush administration's call for sending German combat troops to Afghanistan. She has openly called for shutting down the US prison facility at Guantanamo Bay, angering many in Washington's neoconservative establishment. She has emerged as a leader combating global climate change, which carries with it an implicit criticism of the Bush administrations inaction on that front. Many conservatives are surprised that the pace of economic reforms in Germany under Merkel's leadership has slowed, and in some instances reform policies of the former Red/Green government have been reversed. The fact that Merkel seeks to have a different relationship with Russia than the openly hostile one pursued now in Washington also rankles many American conservatives. Writing for the neoconservative Weekly Standard, Nile Gardiner complained bitterly that "the notion that Chancellor Angela Merkel (is) ushering in a new era of transatlantic cooperation, with Europe and the United States walking hand in hand solving the world's problems is a romanticized fiction that bears little relation to reality." But Angela Merkel is nothing if not a political realist: she cannot afford to ignore the "leftward shift" (Linksruck) that is taking place in Germany. Germans are worried about the impact of globalization on the economy. A recent report showed that a record 13% of Germans were living below the poverty level ; another research report by McKinsey determined that the German middle class is shrinking at an alarming rate. This deep sense of economic insecurity has contributed to the surprising rise of The Left party (Die LINKE) which has emerged as Germany's third strongest political party, siphoning off disgruntled Social Democrats. Angela Merkel has taken advantage of the disarray within the SPD of seizing the great Middle (die Mitte) for the Christian Democrats, acknowledging that the Middle has been shifting to the left. Here she has used the classic Clintonesque triangulation techniques practiced by her predecessor and usurped some the main issues of her opponents, such as health care reform, renewable energy policy, and balancing the budget instead of cutting taxes. The question is, how far can Angela Merkel move her party to the left without alienating the CDU base? Already some have accused her of abandoning the free market guiding principles of her party. The political commentator Ulrich Claus published an op-ed piece in the conservative daily Die Welt with the title "Merkel is Schröderizing the CDU" (Merkel zerschrödert die CDU) . He quotes one disgruntled CDU member : "When Angela Merkel is finished with the CDU it will look like the SPD after Schröder." Just how far and how long expediency will trump ideology within the CDU remains to be seen. But for the time being, be prepared for some surprises. Just last month the CDU formed a governing coalition in Hamburg with the Green Party, something that would have been unthinkable a few years ago. But now some are seeing Black-Green as a possible model for the Christian Democrats on a national scale. Yes, there is the old saying "politics makes for strange bedfellows", but the recent leftward drift of Germany's conservatives makes an alliance with the Greens entirely feasible and not so strange after all. David Vickrey is the editor of Dialog International, a blog about German-American relations, politics and culture, and a US citizen. Welcome! You are reading the ATLANTIC REVIEW -- a Press Digest on Transatlantic Relations combined with commentary and analysis by four young professionals from Germany, the Netherlands and the United States. More about us. The horizontal menu bar at the top helps to navigate this site. Subscribe to one of our RSS-Feeds or to our newsletter, which is emailed twice per month.Trackbacks
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Zyme
- #1 - 2008-05-26 21:59 - (Reply)
It is always hard to understand why the current polictical developments are said to be a shift to the Left. If so, this analysis is only short-sighted: The Left Party indeed is a current winner of deeper sentiments among a considerable part in the population, but those are no sentiments that are specifically "left-wing".
Soren Dayton
- #2 - 2008-05-26 23:41 - (Reply)
It is pretty funny that the framing is about the United States. But the only US analyst that you quote is a UK citizen. Nile Gardiner was a Thatcher staffer.
quo vadis
- #3 - 2008-05-27 01:31 - (Reply)
In a democracy, nothing ever changes that much from one administration to the next. Only the most delusional Americans set their expectations much above "maybe they'll stop jabbing us with a stick at every opportunity" when Schroder and Chriac went down.
David
- #4 - 2008-05-27 01:49 - (Reply)
Just reading the results from the state elections in Schleswig-Holstein. The big losers: both the CDU (loss of 12 points) and the SPD (loss of 3). The biggest winner has to be the Left party, which from nothing won representation in the state parliament with over 6% of the vote. But the Greens and Liberals also did well.
Joe Noory
- #5 - 2008-05-27 02:38 - (Reply)
When Angela Merkel became Germany's chancellor in 2005 American conservatives were jubilant.
Pamela
- #5.1 - 2008-05-27 23:14 - (Reply)
I'm with you, Joe. Vickery is off his meds. Those of us to the right of Atilla the Hun were just happy to see that toad Gerhard shuffle off stage left.
Zyme
- #5.1.1 - 2008-05-27 23:22 - (Reply)
Really I cannot understand what you people have in mind against good old Gerhard. A true politician, part of a model that is disappearing. Now all we got are marionettes that are completely replaceable. Schroeder could certainly not be mixed up with someone else - which is what made him so popular here.
Pat Patterson
- #6 - 2008-05-27 02:50 - (Reply)
I hate to be the one, well, no not actually, to douse David's favorite bete noir of those stupid conservatives having their hopes dashed again either by an altered form of reality or the sudden revealing of their plans to enslave the human race in sweat shops. But the truth of the matter is that many conservative writers and editorialists had dismissed Angela Merkel's bona fides as a conservative in the mold of Reagan and Thatcher even before the election. And the subsequent deflating of the predicted landslide, by the German press, caused many to point out that she would need to strike deals with anyone and everyone that had some seats and even deals with the German version of the LaRouche crew. And Germans thought Scientologists were strange.
Joerg - Atlantic Review
- #7 - 2008-05-28 00:07 - (Reply)
IMHO many US journalists were mad at Gerhard Schroeder and Fischer for not following US leadership.
Pat Patterson
- #7.1 - 2008-05-28 00:26 - (Reply)
Jeez Joerg, all this time I was thinking I was the only one who was having problems posting links! Et tu?
Pat Patterson
- #7.1.1 - 2008-05-28 00:49 - (Reply)
I checked the first archive (889) and indeed found a selection of quotes from various American publications but, and I'll admit that there are differences in who is a conservative but describing those inside the Beltway flaming centrists, the IHT, the CSM, Foreign Policy Passport, Newsweek and describing Roger Cohen as one of those nasty conservatives, takes some doing. Or was the German Marshall Fund suffering from one of those moments like the Nobels when they awarded the Peace Prizes to Yasir Arafat and Le Duc Tho.
Elisabetta
- #7.2 - 2008-05-28 01:07 - (Reply)
In response to Joerg's transference that : IMHO many US journalists were mad at Gerhard Schroeder and Fischer for not following US leadership.
Zyme
- #7.2.1 - 2008-05-28 06:37 - (Reply)
"Most important, he tarnished the image of Germany as a serious international player worthy of respect. It is more serious than the Pershing Crisis in the 80s since reasonable minds could differ about their deployment; here, nothing was asked nor expected of the Germans."
Joerg - Atlantic Review
- #7.2.2 - 2008-05-28 09:25 - (Reply)
@ Elisabetta
Elisabetta
- #7.2.2.1 - 2008-05-28 14:10 - (Reply)
I would agree with most of your comment with the exception of the childish Ohnmacht cannard and the 'true allies disagree' rebutal. Germany could provide more military assistance if she wants to. However, she has consistently made that choice since '91 and to base her decision on a hypothetical lack of strategic and operation control is really no argument whatsoever. If you will recall, the US did cede operation control to the French for a bit in the FRY. Germany does have full control over their zone in Afghanistan and a right cluster fuck it is turning out to be.
Zyme
- #7.2.2.1.1 - 2008-05-28 17:14 - (Reply)
Our country had not been independent until 1990. As regards our foreign politics: Metaphorically speaking our enemies have first crushed the german chariot in 1945, then divided the people into four horses and finally employed each one at a different foreign chariot.
Zyme
- #7.2.2.1.2 - 2008-05-28 17:24 - (Reply)
Probably Washington was simply a bit too far away - or should have watched its own movies:
David
- #7.3 - 2008-05-28 17:50 - (Reply)
Now even Bush's former spokesman - Scott McClellan - is sounding like Joschka Fisher. Turns out, according to McClellan in his book, the Bush administration deceived the American public into supporting a "completely unnecessary war".
Joe Noory
- #7.3.1 - 2008-05-28 18:15 - (Reply)
Your attitude about these things - the confluence of anything critical that pleases you - would only matter if Europe did. It doesn't to any degree that matches its wealth or population.
David
- #7.3.1.1 - 2008-05-29 03:27 - (Reply)
The fact that this war is a colossal failure doesn't please me. The lies that McClellan writes about are a cancer that is eating away at the soul of the nation. Anyone living in the US now - if they are honest - can attest to that.
Pat Patterson
- #7.3.1.1.1 - 2008-05-29 06:56 - (Reply)
Interesting when Scott McClellan doesn't say boo until after a book contract and a failed consulting business this tell all becomes an act of courage but when Dick Morris or George Stephanopolis criticizes the ineptitude, laziness and venality of the Clinton's its mere politics. Plus I must wonder at just what the definition of a colossal failure must be when compared to Haiti?
Joe Noory
- #7.3.1.1.2 - 2008-05-29 15:30 - (Reply)
The only courage you would find in McLellan's is that it props up your world view. That's damn needy if you ask me, and how you can conflate any sort of other thing you see in the world with the collection of other argumantative interests you have is beyond me.
Joerg - Atlantic Review
- #8 - 2008-05-28 09:17 - (Reply)
@ Elisabetta
Pat Patterson
- #9 - 2008-05-28 14:08 - (Reply)
Or we could consider just the opposite in imagining a scenario where a US presidential candidate went on national TV and called for a WTO investigation into Germany's oil dealings with Russia and even before the a defense could be offered basically promised to do everythng in the world to block it? Would there be the slightest possibility that Germany would be feel betrayed and that the candidate's failure would be hoped for in Berlin. Or even rejoicing when he was defeated even by a nonentity.
Zyme
- #9.1 - 2008-05-28 17:17 - (Reply)
" though its perceived cooperation with Russia has made some progress in dealing with the former satellites more difficult. Some of the more rabid press in Poland and the Baltics see these trade deals as an attempt by Germany to again form alliances that would allow them and Russia carte blanche in their areas of concern."
Elisabetta
- #9.1.1 - 2008-05-28 17:47 - (Reply)
I would not pat yourself on the back yet. Look at the new V-4 eastern European policy put forth by Poland and Sweden conjointly. Then take a look at the wide-ranging 2004 Visegrad annex post Schroeder. That looks to me like the beginning of a very effective voting bloc intra the EU.
Zyme
- #9.1.1.1 - 2008-05-28 18:12 - (Reply)
Visegrad? The Slovaks, the Czechs and the Hungarians in one connection?
Elisabetta
- #9.1.1.1.1 - 2008-05-28 18:31 - (Reply)
That would be the same Hungarians who unilaterally in 91 said they would respect the Treaty of Trianon to placate the surrounding countries. The same Hungarians who seem to get on with the Slovaks even with Jan Slota's inclusion in the ruling coalition.
Zyme
- #9.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-05-28 19:07 - (Reply)
"Sure, the Hungarians have a vocal far-right but that is in no way indicative of society in general; sound familiar?"
Elisabetta
- #9.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-05-28 23:45 - (Reply)
The turmoil about the Benes decrees stopped being a political impediment in the mid-90s for the V-4. Most people agree that the row was brought about by Czechs attempting to ditch the other member states and accede to the EU solo--Slovakia and Poland were not in great shape back then, if you remember.
Zyme
- #9.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 - 2008-05-29 11:56 - (Reply)
Ah I see the cause of the displaced germans is not one of your heart. Well among my ancestors there are none either - although we live pretty close to the border to Czechia. As long as the Czechian side was still populated with ethnic germans, this was a florishing region. Before the war, some from the german side even went across the border to go to school there, as the biggest german town in the region was on the Czechian side.
Pat Patterson
- #9.1.2 - 2008-05-28 18:08 - (Reply)
The logic escaped me here, are you now arguing that Germany is indeed using accomodation with Russia to force its fellow EU members and some of its NATO allies into submission? That seems remarkably counterproductive in that it seems rather an immoral way to influence them and simply forces those nations to look outside their treaty organizations for allies, namely one-on-one relations or regional relations with the US. Would Germany have been so understanding if the US forged a relationship with the Soviets in order to create an or else situation?
Zyme
- #9.1.2.1 - 2008-05-28 18:18 - (Reply)
Now those are pretty evil words you use Pat. I would argue that this policy merely encourages our eastern European neighbours to acknowledge Brussel´s primacy and no longer resist further integration.
Pat Patterson
- #9.1.2.1.1 - 2008-05-28 22:45 - (Reply)
I do seem to remember at the time that the Germany army and its auxilliaries were butchering Ukrainians and fail to see how that has anything to do with what you seem to admire about current German policy towards its allies.
Zyme
- #9.1.2.1.1.1 - 2008-05-28 23:06 - (Reply)
Oh come on, it is not a threat, it's a joker so to speak :)
Pat Patterson
- #9.1.2.1.1.1.1 - 2008-05-29 00:08 - (Reply)
Yes, options are important but not at the expense of treaties and agreements or is that only bad when the US is thought to pursue its own national interests. Multilateralism is fine for thee but not me?
joe
- #10 - 2008-05-28 16:19 - (Reply)
I never expected much from the frau for no other reason than she is german. Add Comment
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